FiveThirtyEight
fivethirtyeight.com › tag › midterms
Midterms – FiveThirtyEight
FiveThirtyEight uses statistical analysis - hard numbers - to tell compelling stories about elections, politics and American society.
Reddit
reddit.com › r/fivethirtyeight › democrats still on track for house majority in 2026
r/fivethirtyeight on Reddit: Democrats still on track for House majority in 2026
August 26, 2025 -
Democrats still on track for House majority in 2026: https://open.substack.com/pub/smokefilledroom/p/which-party-is-on-track-to-win-the?r=2w9tr1&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=false
What is the Democrat’s path to Congress 2026?
Probably the same thing that happens nearly every other midterm. A combination of: the out of power party being more motivated to win the in power party overreaching on their mandate in an effort to satisfy their base Americans general dissatisfaction with Congress leading them to punish the party in power More on reddit.com
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January 27, 2025Democrats still on track for House majority in 2026
Now, if only said majority was set to be led by somebody other than Hakeem Jeffries… More on reddit.com
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August 26, 2025Can Democrats really win the Senate in 2026?
Need 7 of these 8 races NH GA MI ME NC TX OH AK Very very very unlikely…but not impossible. More on reddit.com
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December 31, 2024What is the U.S. Senate going to look like after the 2026 midterm elections?
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4 weeks agoRace to the WH
racetothewh.com › house
Predictions for the House - 2026 Midterms - Updated Daily — Race to the WH
The model takes into account the recent electoral history of each district, the latest polling, fundraising, and other key data. In 2026, Democrats are seeking to reclaim the House majority, after coming tantalizingly close to victory in two ...
270toWin.com
270towin.com › 2026-house-election-predictions
2026 House Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin
November 5, 2025 - The current 2026 House ratings from Inside Elections. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2026 House forecast.
Center for Politics
centerforpolitics.org › home › 2026 house
2026 House - Sabato's Crystal Ball
1 month ago - To read recent stories on the race for the House, click here. 2026 House Ratings Updated Dec. 10, 2025 House district presidential loyalty in Trump-era elections, using 2024 districts
LSE
blogs.lse.ac.uk › home › elections and party politics across the us › forecasting suggests the republicans will lose 28 seats and the house in the 2026 midterm elections
Forecasting suggests the Republicans will lose 28 seats and the House in the 2026 midterm elections | USAPP
October 15, 2025 - Charles Tien and Michael S. Lewis-Beck ... November 2026 midterm elections. Through this model, they predict that the GOP are likely to lose 28 seats next year, and control of the US House of Representatives....
Kalshi
kalshi.com › markets › controlh › house-winner › controlh-2026
Which party will win the U.S. House this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
1 week ago - Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "Which party will win the U.S. House this year?", or trade it yourself.
Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › 2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings
2026 United States House of Representatives election ratings - Wikipedia
1 day ago - These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index (CPVI) is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.
FiveThirtyEight
projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › senate › 2026
U.S. Senate : 2026 Polls | FiveThirtyEight - Politics News
ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
The Hill
thehill.com › opinion › campaign › 5558908-democrats-might-be-doomed-to-a-2026-disappointment
Democrats might be doomed to a 2026 disappointment
October 17, 2025 - If that happens, Republicans might gain an opportunity to erase a dozen Democratic seats in the South, says chief political analyst for The New York Times, Nate Cohn. (It is not entirely clear whether the ruling would apply to the House map ...
YouTube
youtube.com › watch
I Asked AI to Predict the 2026 Midterm Elections - You Won’t Believe What AI Said! - YouTube
I Asked AI to Predict the 2026 Midterm Elections - You Won’t Believe What AI Said!Can Democrats flip the House in 2026? This video dives into the latest poll...
Published October 15, 2025
Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › 2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections
2026 United States House of Representatives elections - Wikipedia
2 days ago - The winners of this election will serve in the 120th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2020 United States census and revised district maps as a result of the 2025–2026 United States redistricting.
270toWin.com
270towin.com › 2026-house-election
2026 House Election Interactive Map - 270toWin
October 22, 2025 - This 3-part map lets you view the current composition of the U.S. House and make a forecast for the 2026 elections. Use the buttons below the map to share your prediction on social media or embed it into a web page.
Cook Political Report
cookpolitical.com › cook political report › ratings › u.s. house
2026 CPR House Race ratings | Cook Political Report
1 month ago - The CPR House Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all 435 House elections. Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the district's political makeup, the candidates' strengths and weaknesses, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with ...
Reddit
reddit.com › r/fivethirtyeight › what is the democrat’s path to congress 2026?
r/fivethirtyeight on Reddit: What is the Democrat’s path to Congress 2026?
January 27, 2025 -
I see a lot of folks saying that Dems have a blue wave in the bag in 2026, but I don’t have that confidence. I wanted to create this post to chat about the likely scenarios for flipping the House/Senate in their favor in 2026.
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Probably the same thing that happens nearly every other midterm. A combination of: the out of power party being more motivated to win the in power party overreaching on their mandate in an effort to satisfy their base Americans general dissatisfaction with Congress leading them to punish the party in power
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If the economy gets worse in the next 2 years then congress is the democrats’ to lose
FiveThirtyEight
projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › generic-ballot › 2026
Generic ballot : 2026 Polls | FiveThirtyEight - Politics News
ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
NYTimes
nytimes.com › interactive › polls › congressional-vote-2026.html
Who is Favored to Win the House? Latest 2026 Congressional Ballot Polls - The New York Times
12 minutes ago - Recent polling on the congressional generic ballot shows Democrats with a modest advantage. The party out of power typically gains ground in midterm elections, and these early surveys suggest this may be taking shape ahead of 2026.
FiveThirtyEight
projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls
Polls | FiveThirtyEight - Politics News
ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
FiveThirtyEight
projects.fivethirtyeight.com › polls › senate › 2026 › north-carolina › general
North Carolina : U.S. Senate : 2026 Polls | FiveThirtyEight
ABC News is your trusted source on political news stories and videos. Get the latest coverage and analysis on everything from the Trump presidency, Senate, House and Supreme Court.
FairVote
fairvote.org › home › reports › monopoly politics 2026: how 81% of 2026 elections have already been decided
Monopoly Politics 2026: How 81% of 2026 elections have already been decided - FairVote
November 20, 2025 - We project that 81% of House seats will be safe for one party, with another 9% leaning strongly to one party – 18 months before the election.