Recession is often defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction—declining real GDP. The nation’s GDP fell 1.6 percent on an annualized basis in first quarter 2022 and was followed by a 0.9 percent drop in the second quarter.

September 24, 2025 - The 2022 stock market decline was a bear market that included the decline of several stock market indices worldwide between January and October 2022. The decline was due to the highest inflation readings as part of the 2021–2023 inflation surge and the resulting increases in interest rates, ...

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September 18, 2025 - The U.S. has not been in an economic recession since 2022.

September 15, 2022 - Although these forecasts do not point to a global recession in 2022–23, experience from earlier recessions suggests that at least two developments—which either have already materialized in recent months or may be underway—heighten the ...

December 5, 2025 - And while there are plenty of folks ... feeling recession-like symptoms (particularly those among the hundreds of thousands of layoffs we've seen proliferate of late) are already here, the more bullish take on equities overall has played out. The question moving forward, of course, is whether 2026 will be a repeat of what we've seen the past three years (2022 was kind of ...

December 4, 2025 - inflation shock vs. 2008 recession, 2008 recession vs. now, 2008 recession vs. current recession

December 4, 2025 - inflation shock vs. 2008 recession, 2008 recession vs. now, 2008 recession vs. current recession

November 24, 2025 - Business news and opinions from the Centre Daily Times newspaper in Happy Valley.

November 24, 2025 - Peak-to-trough declines are commonly in the ballpark of 80%, as seen in 2011, 2015, and 2018, with the most recent 2022 bear market bottoming out after a drawdown of approximately 77%.

November 24, 2025 - inflation shock vs. 2008 recession, 2008 recession vs. now, 2008 recession vs. current recession

November 24, 2025 - Bessent told NBC's "Meet the Press" program that parts of the U.S. economy that are sensitive to interest rates, including ‌housing, had been in recession, but he did not see the entire economy at risk of negative growth.

November 24, 2025 - Market participants, analysts, and economists have all been looking for signs of a recession since 2022. An economic hard landing following the post-COVID boom seemed almost inevitable, given the numerous warnings that had appeared throughout.

In short, we are positive about the economy’s fundamentals and believe they can provide ballast in the event of a recession. Nonetheless, the bear-market bottom for stocks may still be 5%-10% away. Investors should remain patient and consider using tax-efficient rebalancing, including by harvesting losses, to neutralize their major overweight and underweight exposures. And, as we continue to emphasize, pursue maximum asset-class diversification. This article is based on Lisa Shalett’s Global Investment Committee Weekly report from June 27, 2022, “Inflation-Driven Recessions are Different.” Ask your Morgan Stanley Financial Advisor for a copy.

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September 27, 2024 - “The bottom line is that, with the announcement on July 28 of a two-quarter GDP decline, we can be highly confident that the US economy entered a recession early in 2022.” The NBER did not declare a recession.

September 26, 2024 - Specifically, the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) reported that the annualized pace of GDP growth was negative in Q2 of 2022, which followed a negative print in Q1. Two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth means the economy is in recession, ...