Elm Wealth
elmwealth.com › home › research › how likely is a stock market crash?
How Likely is a Stock Market Crash? - Elm Wealth
2 weeks ago - We estimate the real probability of a 30% U.S. stock market drop over the next year using history, surveys, prediction markets, and options pricing. The result may surprise you.
Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com › news › most-likely-cause-stock-market-005000108.html
The Most Likely Cause of a Stock Market Crash in 2026. (Hint: It's Not Related to Artificial Intelligence.)
2 days ago - These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires › · Predicting the next stock market crash is nearly impossible, so I wouldn't recommend that retail investors attempt to time the market.
Videos
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Business Insider
businessinsider.com › category › stock-market-crash
Stock Market Crash - Business Insider
The firm, led by legendary market bear Jeremy Grantham, gave some ideas on where to invest instead. ... From homebuilding to trucking, major parts of the US economy are in deep trouble. The weakness could drag the whole country into a recession. ... Last month it was circularity. This month, it's depreciation. ... Thursday saw a bizarre reversal of what had been a stellar stock rally.
Share Talk
share-talk.com › stock-market-crash-the-1929-warning-that-looks-like-2026
Stock Market Crash: The 1929 Warning That Looks Like 2026 - Share Talk
2 weeks ago - The trigger does not cause the Stock Market Crash; it simply determines when a fragile system breaks. In 1929 it was a seemingly minor British fraud case. In 2008 it was the collapse of a major investment bank. In both cases the underlying system had already been primed by the first four stages. Potential triggers today are many and varied: geopolitical escalation, a major counterparty failure in the derivatives market, renewed banking runs, a sharp correction in one of the mega-cap stocks that dominate indices, or a political misstep that undermines confidence in policy.
Reuters
reuters.com › markets › us
U.S. Stock Market Headlines | Breaking Stock Market News | Reuters
Find the latest stock market news from every corner of the globe at Reuters.com, your online source for breaking international market and finance news
Seeking Alpha
seekingalpha.com › home › market outlook › today's market
Our Readers’ Expectations Of A Stock Market Drop | Seeking Alpha
3 days ago - Reader estimates put the average probability of a 30% stock market crash in the next year at 30.5%, with a median of 25%.
YouTube
youtube.com › watch
You're Not Going to Predict the Next Market Crash - YouTube
At the moment, doesn’t it feel like everyone is saying there’s going to be a crash soon? Today, we’ll look at whether we should be listening to these forecas...
Published October 28, 2025
The Economist
economist.com › leaders › november 15th 2025 edition
How markets could topple the global economy
November 13, 2025 - IF AMERICA’S stockmarket crashes, it will be one of the most predicted financial implosions in history. Everyone from bank bosses to the IMF has warned about the stratospheric valuations of America’s tech companies.
U.S. Bank
usbank.com › investing › financial-perspectives › market-news › is-a-market-correction-coming.html
Is a Market Correction Coming? | U.S. Bank
July 9, 2025 - While markets at new all-time highs sometimes present risks, Haworth also notes, “New all-time highs are often followed by new all-time highs.” · Now is an important time to check in with a wealth planning professional to ensure you are comfortable with your current investments and that your portfolio aligns with your time horizon, risk appetite and long-term financial goals. The S&P 500 Index consists of 500 widely traded stocks that are considered to represent the performance of the U.S.
A Wealth of Common Sense
awealthofcommonsense.com › 2025 › 12 › a-30-decline-in-the-stock-market
A 30% Decline in the Stock Market
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Reddit
reddit.com › r/investing › realistically speaking what would it take for a stock market crash to occur?
r/investing on Reddit: Realistically speaking what would it take for a stock market crash to occur?
October 22, 2025 -
Is it when retail are forced to sell their positions, even at a loss because they lack the funds to cover bills, etc?
So like recession times? Is it when unemployment rates are high? is it when disposable income is at its lowest? is it when people can't affford new triple A games? etc.
Barchart
barchart.com › story › news › 36803086 › the-next-market-collapse-will-be-quiet-and-that-is-exactly-why-investors-will-miss-it
The Next Market Collapse Will Be Quiet And That Is Exactly Why Investors Will Miss It
1 week ago - They may not admit it, but their portfolios rhyme. Leadership sits with a handful of names that dominate everything. The result is the most mispriced risk in the market today. When everyone invests in the same winning stocks, the market remains stable until a sudden downturn occurs.
The Motley Fool
fool.com › investing › 2025 › 12 › 24 › stock-market-crash-2026-fed-reserve-warn-investors
Will the Stock Market Crash in 2026? The Federal Reserve Sends a Silent Warning to Investors. | The Motley Fool
1 week ago - Jan 2, 2026 •By Trevor JennewineThe Stock Market Sounds an Alarm as Investors Get Bad News About President Trump's Tariffs. History Says the S&P 500 Will Do This in 2026. Jan 1, 2026 •By Steven PorrelloHistory Says a Turning Point Is Likely Coming for the S&P 500 in 2026 · Dec 31, 2025 •By Emma NewberyStock Market Today, Dec.
Seeking Alpha
seekingalpha.com › home › market outlook › today's market
A Market Crash Is Imminent | Seeking Alpha
November 6, 2025 - Current equity allocations above ... equity allocation to future 10-year returns predicts a -1.39% annualized return for the S&P 500 over the next decade....
The Economist
economist.com › finance & economics › november 8th 2025 edition
Why Wall Street won’t see the next crash coming
November 2, 2025 - David Solomon, Mr Dimon’s opposite number at Goldman Sachs, talks of “investor exuberance”; Jane Fraser, Citigroup’s boss, of “valuation frothiness”. The Bank of England recently cautioned that “the risk of a sharp market correction has increased.” The IMF worries about a “disorderly” one, since “risk asset prices are well above fundamentals”.
The Motley Fool
fool.com › investing › 2025 › 12 › 21 › is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-in-2026-history
Is the Stock Market Going to Crash in 2026? History Suggests There's Good and Bad News | The Motley Fool
2 weeks ago - Dec 27, 2025 •By Trevor JennewineStock Market Investors Got a Warning From Fed Chair Jerome Powell in 2025. History Says This Will Happen in 2026. Dec 26, 2025 •By Emma NewberyStock Market Today, Dec.
Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com › news › stock-market-going-crash-2026-092600954.html
Is the Stock Market Going to Crash in 2026? 2 Historically Flawless Indicators Paint a Clear Picture.
1 week ago - Both the S&P 500's Shiller P/E and the Buffett indicator point to the very real possibility of a stock market crash in 2026, albeit nothing is guaranteed.
Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › 2025_stock_market_crash
2025 stock market crash - Wikipedia
November 11, 2025 - Traders called the spike in yields a "Liz Truss moment," referencing a 2022 UK government crisis when unfunded tax cuts triggered a bond market sell off. The upturn was considered an example of bond vigilantism. Explanations for the bond sell-off include rising inflation expectations due to tariffs, margin calls amid the stock crash, and dumping of US government bonds due to declining trust in US—especially by foreign investors and governments, who hold about 33% of US Treasuries.
Reddit
reddit.com › r/investingforbeginners › you can't time the market... but everyone says a crash is coming
r/investingforbeginners on Reddit: You can't time the market... But everyone says a crash is coming
November 29, 2025 -
So for someone who hasn't started investing yet and has money in savings... Would it be better to put the money in a GIC or something guaranteed to grow a bit and then once the crash happens, buy while it's low? There is bound to be some kind of crash the way the economy is going right? Doesn't it kinda feel like things have peaked? Isn't buying at peak not really a good idea?
What does everyone think? If you had 100k from inheritance or something would you still invest it today or would you see how the next year or two plays out?
Top answer 1 of 5
134
I can tell you with a 100% certainty that a crash is coming. If not on Monday, maybe next month, or next year maybe, or if not in 5 years. Worst case scenario in 10 years. Or if that does not happen I can tell you that maybe for sure in 20 years. But it's coming.
2 of 5
73
It’s time in the market and not time the market
NerdWallet
nerdwallet.com › article › investing › what-to-do-when-stock-market-is-crashing
What To Do When the Stock Market Crashes - NerdWallet
March 6, 2018 - At such moments, it's natural to wonder: Is the stock market crashing? Ultimately, it's not a question worth worrying about too much. If you own a diversified portfolio, focus on the long term, and consider taking advantage of market downturns when you can, you're already doing almost everything in your ability to be ready for the next crash. ... There's really no reliable way to predict that.