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China-Taiwan relations are defined by deep historical ties and ongoing political tension. The People's Republic of China (PRC) views Taiwan as a breakaway province and asserts its sovereignty under the One China Principle, rejecting any notion of Taiwan as an independent state. Beijing has not ruled out the use of force to achieve unification, especially if Taiwan moves toward formal independence.

, officially the Republic of China (ROC), operates as a self-governing democracy with its own military, constitution, and elected government. While it once claimed mainland China as its territory, it has since transitioned to a de facto independent status, particularly after democratizing in the 1990s. However, it is not widely recognized as a sovereign state due to PRC pressure.

Military tensions have escalated in recent years. China has conducted large-scale military drills around Taiwan, including live-fire exercises, drone incursions, and simulated blockades, such as the "Justice Mission 2025" exercises in late 2025. U.S. intelligence assessments suggest China aims to be capable of a military invasion by 2027, though it may prefer peaceful unification.

U.S. involvement adds complexity. While maintaining a policy of strategic ambiguity, the U.S. is Taiwan’s main arms supplier and has approved record defense sales, drawing strong objections from Beijing. Recent actions, like a $11.1 billion arms package, have intensified cross-strait friction.

Taiwan’s defense strategy focuses on asymmetric warfare, increased military spending (targeting 3% of GDP), and resilience planning. Meanwhile, China continues to pursue both military readiness and non-military tactics, including political and economic pressure, to advance its unification goals.

country in East Asia

Taiwan, officially the Republic of China (ROC), is a country in East Asia. The main island of Taiwan, also known as Formosa, lies between the East and South China Seas in the … Wikipedia
Factsheet
中華民國 (Chinese) Zhōnghuá Mínguó (Pinyin)
Capital Taipei
Coordinates: 25.067; 121.517
Largest city New Taipei City
Factsheet
中華民國 (Chinese) Zhōnghuá Mínguó (Pinyin)
Capital Taipei
Coordinates: 25.067; 121.517
Largest city New Taipei City
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Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Taiwan
Taiwan - Wikipedia
1 day ago - Use of the current Chinese name ... Taiwanese mainland eventually became known as "Taiwan". The official name of the country in English is the "Republic of China"....
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German Marshall Fund
gmfus.org › news › if-china-attacks-taiwan
If China Attacks Taiwan | German Marshall Fund of the United States
2 weeks ago - Xi’s risk calculus is crucial to understanding if and under what circumstances Beijing might take aggressive actions against Taiwan because any such decision would carry profound political, economic, and strategic consequences for the PRC and for him personally. Xi has tied his legitimacy to putting the PRC on an irreversible path toward the “China Dream” of national rejuvenation by 2049 and unifying Taiwan with the motherland is deemed essential to that goal.
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Hindustan Times
hindustantimes.com › news › videos › world news
China's secret plan to keep US out of Taiwan war: Xi to use civilian fishing boats, not warships? | Hindustan Times
In a display of maritime precision, thousands of Chinese fishing boats were mobilized in the East China Sea to form an enormous 460 km floating barrier. The coordinated formations, revealed through vessel-tracking data and analyzed by The New York Times, suggest training or rehearsal for a potential naval blockade scenario near Taiwan and key shipping lanes.
Published   3 hours ago
Discussions

CMV: Trump/Vance will not defend Taiwan with US forces if China attempts violent invasion
Trump's whole thing is projecting strength though, and backing down from China after all his "tough on China" rhetoric would make him look weak as hell Honestly think his ego wouldn't let him just roll over, especially if Xi tried to pull something that obvious More on reddit.com
🌐 r/changemyview
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US President Donald Trump says China’s Taiwan move is “up to” Xi Jinping but warns he would be “very unhappy” with any change to the status quo.
Jesus Christ, he’s actually trying to goad him into it. What a fucking ghoul. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/China
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1 week ago
Taiwan Sees Trump’s Arrest of Maduro as Helpful in Deterring Xi
I would say it's more a case of "Taiwan sees flattering Trump as helpful in deterring Xi". More on reddit.com
🌐 r/worldnews
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2 weeks ago
With the US hitting Venezuela today, is anyone else terrified China takes Taiwan next? (and bricks the global chip supply)
Price things in? This market? The market where Elon Musk promises we'll be a Tesla-led intergalactic civilization by 2028 while sales fall by 10% and the stock goes up to a 10000 PE Ratio? No. We don't price things here in this market. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/stocks
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2 weeks ago
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Firstpost
firstpost.com › home › world › canada faces a trump question, but china isn’t the answer, says taiwan envoy
Canada faces a Trump question, but China isn’t the answer, says Taiwan envoy
6 hours ago - The statement came from Canada's Taiwanese Envoy Harry Ho-jen Tseng following a meeting between Prime Minister Mark Carney and Chinese President Xi Jinping last week. Under the agreement, both countries have agreed to lower trade barriers and rebuild ties
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Times of India
timesofindia.indiatimes.com › defence › international › type-075-ship-the-ace-up-xis-sleeve-all-about-chinas-trump-card-for-taiwan-takeover › articleshow › 126695347.cms
Type 075 ship: The ace up Xi's sleeve? All about China's trump card for Taiwan takeover
16 hours ago - Read Top News in India and around the World on Times of India. Breaking news coverage and analysis on US presidential election, politics, current affairs, business & sports.
Find elsewhere
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Mezha
mezha.net › eng › bukvy › chinese-military-drone-enters-taiwan-airspace-near-pratas-island
Chinese Military Drone Enters Taiwan Airspace Near Pratas Island
18 hours ago - According to CNN The anti-abortion movement in the United States is testing new tactics aimed at provoking sharp legal and political clashes around shield laws in blue states th · As reported by Oleh Synyehubov's Telegram channel On January 17, Russian troops carried out a daytime strike on ...
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Vision Times
visiontimes.com › 2026 › 01 › 19 › study-warns-failed-taiwan-invasion-could-set-china-back-decades.html
Study Warns Failed Taiwan Invasion Could Set China Back ...
19 hours ago - By Li Muzi On Jan.15, the U.S. Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) released a Mandarin-language video on social media that has ignited widespread discussion among Chinese-speaking audiences. In the video, the CIA openly declares: “The CIA wants to know the truth about China.
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Financial Post
financialpost.com › news › china-not-answer-canadas-trade-troubles
China isn't the answer for Canada's trade troubles, Taiwan envoy says
12 hours ago - Taiwan was Canada’s 15th-largest merchandise trading partner in 2024 with $6 billion in goods exchanged, according to the Canadian government. The services trade between the two was $1.9 billion. ... The Canadian government’s Indo-Pacific Strategy, published in late 2022 when Justin Trudeau was still prime minister, called China “an increasingly disruptive global power” that disregards international rules and norms.
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Foreign Policy
foreignpolicy.com › 2026 › 01 › 19 › china-taiwan-invasion-failed-xi-disaster
A Failed Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Would Be Disastrous for Xi Jinping
20 hours ago - An illustration shows a line of large shopping carts facing down a small Donald Trump figure holding two shopping bags. The stars of China's flag are in the upper left corner.
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Asia Times
asiatimes.com › 2026 › 01 › singapore-holds-keys-to-deterring-a-china-taiwan-war
Singapore holds keys to deterring a China-Taiwan war
1 day ago - Get in-depth coverage of Asian politics, business, economics, and culture from a unique Asian perspective. Read independent news for Asia and the world.
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Quillette
quillette.com › 2026 › 01 › 19 › stranded-in-history-china-japan-takaichi
China's Fury Over Japan's Taiwan Stance Reveals Xi's Plans
1 day ago - Quillette is an online magazine founded in 2015 by Australian journalist Claire Lehmann. The magazine primarily focuses on science, technology, culture, and politics.
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Financial Times
ft.com › content › 4b73bf1c-76a4-426f-a335-de8528b24acb
China flies drone into Taiwan’s airspace for first time
2 days ago - Surveillance flight over disputed atoll highlights Beijing’s growing aerial capabilities
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NYTimes
nytimes.com › 2026 › 01 › 17 › opinion › taiwan-china-war.html
Opinion | How War With China Begins - The New York Times
2 days ago - In this gray zone, China is already mounting cyberattacks, cutting internet cables and sending planes and ships toward Taiwan. It also holds live-fire military exercises, most recently a couple of weeks ago, to try to bully the island into accepting a future as some kind of autonomous zone under China’s oversight.
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Institute for the Study of War
understandingwar.org › home › china & taiwan update, january 16, 2026
China & Taiwan Update, January 16, 2026 | ISW
3 days ago - Taiwan Affairs Office spokesperson Zhu Fenglian criticized the Anti-Infiltration Act as an “evil law” used by the DPP to suppress political opposition and terrorize the Taiwanese public.[50] The PRC is likely concerned that the amendments will obstruct its ability to influence Taiwanese elections, including the local elections scheduled for November 28, 2026. The PRC hacked the communications of US congressional committee staffers in a “Salt Typhoon” incident similar to previous attacks. Cyberattacks offer low-cost means of undermining US infrastructure and national security. Financial
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The Guardian
theguardian.com › world › 2026 › jan › 13 › china-europe-pressure-block-taiwanese-politicians-visas
China pressing European countries to bar Taiwan politicians or face crossing a ‘red line’ | Taiwan | The Guardian
1 week ago - They occurred in November and December, and were at least partly in response to recent European trips by Taiwanese officials including its current vice-president and foreign minister, and a former president. China threatened to cancel key trade talks after UK minister’s Taiwan visit in June
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Fox News
foxnews.com › politics › china-surrounds-taiwan-warships-fighter-jets-largest-military-drills-ever
China surrounds Taiwan with warships, fighter jets in largest military drills on record
China on Monday launched its largest military exercises ever · around Taiwan, surrounding the island with warships, aircraft and live-fire drills as tensions spiked following a record U.S.
Published   3 weeks ago
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CNN
cnn.com › 2026 › 01 › 06 › world › venezuela-china-taiwan-analysis-intl-hnk
China denounced Venezuela attack but Chinese social media hails it as a blueprint for invading Taiwan | CNN
2 weeks ago - China’s ruling Communist Party claims the self-governing democracy as its territory, despite never having controlled it, and has vowed to absorb the island, by force if necessary. In recent years Beijing has ramped up its military intimidation of Taiwan, including by simulating blockades.
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Reuters
reuters.com › world › china › china-launches-live-firing-drills-around-taiwan-its-biggest-war-games-date-2025-12-30
China encircles Taiwan in massive military display | Reuters
3 weeks ago - As part of drills rehearsing a blockade, China's Eastern Theatre Command conducted 10 hours of live-fire exercises, launching rockets into waters to the north and south of the democratically governed island. Sign up here. Chinese naval and air force units also simulated strikes on maritime and aerial targets and carried out anti-submarine drills around the island, while state media released images touting Beijing's technological and military superiority and its ability to take Taiwan by force if necessary.
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Axios
axios.com › 2025 › 12 › 30 › taiwan-2027-china-invade-trump-response
Taiwan 2027: China's target date for potential takeover fast approaches
3 weeks ago - Driving the news: In a sign that could be changing, the Trump administration announced the largest-ever arms sale ($11.1 billion) for Taiwan this month. Then on Monday, Beijing launched drills that its military described as a "stern warning" to separatists. They involve simulated aerial strikes, live-fire exercises by the navy, and other elements designed to emphasize China's ability to surround and conquer the island.