German Marshall Fund
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If China Attacks Taiwan | German Marshall Fund of the United States
Yet a military conflict over Taiwan would risk massive economic disruption, catastrophic military losses, significant social unrest, and devastating sanctions, all of which could turn his dream into a nightmare and undermine his political authority.
Institute for the Study of War
understandingwar.org › home › china & taiwan update, january 2, 2026
China & Taiwan Update, January 2, 2026 | ISW
3 weeks ago - The exercise rehearsed elements of a campaign to isolate Taiwan and was separately meant to intimidate and impose psychological pressure. PLA modernization: The US Department of Defense released its 2025 China Military Power Report, discussing major developments throughout 2024 and focusing primarily on PLA technological developments and Chinese posture toward Taiwan.
Videos
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DW
dw.com › en › china-taiwan-crisis › t-62746803
China-Taiwan crisis
Taipei wants to boost its combat readiness to counter China's military rise. Will the plan be approved by parliament? ... Taiwanese creatives are creating fictional, yet plausible, depictions of a Chinese invasion, with mixed reviews. ... The chip giant's plan to invest $100 billion into US production facilities has set off alarm bells in Taiwan.
NYTimes
nytimes.com › world › asia pacific
Taiwan’s $40 Billion Military Spending Plan Stalled by Political Impasse - The New York Times
5 hours ago - A political quagmire in Taiwan has stalled plans by its President Lai Ching-te to sharply increase military spending, even as President Donald Trump has pressed the island to pay more for its own defense against China’s campaign to bring the island under its control.
Fox News
foxnews.com › politics › chinas-global-aggression-check-taiwan-tensions-military-posturing-us-response-2025
China’s global aggression check: Taiwan tensions, military posturing and US response in 2025
Unlike earlier shows of force, the late-year drills were widely interpreted as practice for coercive scenarios short of outright war — particularly a blockade or quarantine designed to strangle Taiwan economically and politically without triggering immediate global conflict. Chinese officials explicitly tied the escalation to Washington’s actions, pointing to a massive U.S. arms package approved in December — valued at roughly $11 billion and described as one of the largest such sales to Taiwan in years — as proof of what Beijing calls "foreign interference." XI JINPING HAILS 'UNSTOPPABLE' CHINA AS TRUMP ACCUSES BEIJING OF CONSPIRING AGAINST US
Published 3 weeks ago
ABC News
abc.net.au › news › 2026-01-21 › chinese-air-force-rivals-us-taiwan-conflict › 106212470
China's air force has technology that rivals the US's and it could be pivotal in any conflict over Taiwan - ABC News
15 hours ago - Certain capabilities of China's air force now seriously challenge those of the US and other Western countries, with experts saying that it could tip the balance of any war over Taiwan in Beijing's favour.
Bloomberg
bloomberg.com › opinion › articles › 2026-01-13 › a-taiwan-conflict-would-cost-china-that-won-t-stop-xi
A Taiwan Conflict Would Cost China. That Won’t Stop Xi - Bloomberg
1 week ago - Taiwan’s unification with China sits at the heart of President Xi Jinping’s ambitions. But the costs to Beijing of a conflict would be staggering — in lives lost, economic damage, military credibility and domestic stability. Still, none of this guarantees Xi won’t act.
Foreign Policy
foreignpolicy.com › 2026 › 01 › 19 › china-taiwan-invasion-failed-xi-disaster
A Failed Chinese Invasion of Taiwan Would Be Disastrous for Xi Jinping
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The Guardian
theguardian.com › world › 2026 › jan › 20 › chinese-japan-tourist-numbers-halve-wake-taiwan-invasion-row
Chinese tourists shun Japan in wake of Taiwan invasion row | China | The Guardian
14 hours ago - Japan’s cabinet approves record defence budget amid escalating China tensions ... Beijing has not ruled out the use of force to annex Taiwan – a self-governing democracy it regards as a Chinese province – under what it calls “reunification”. Takaichi, a hawkish conservative, said a crisis in the Taiwan Strait could trigger the deployment of her country’s self-defence forces if the conflict posed an “existential threat” to Japan.
BBC
bbc.com › news › articles › c87l7xjp235o
China holds military drills around Taiwan as warning to 'separatist forces'
3 weeks ago - The Chinese military published ... Taiwan Strait · China is holding military drills around Taiwan simulating the seizure and blockade of the island's key areas, as a warning against "separatist forces"....
Taipei Times
taipeitimes.com › News › front › archives › 2026 › 01 › 07 › 2003850174
Taiwan conflict ‘catastrophic’ for China: US report - Taipei Times
2 weeks ago - The report defines a minor conflict as a blockade by Chinese ships and aircraft involving deadly air and maritime confrontations between the PLA and Taiwan, without losses of foreign personnel, concluding with the US intervening to ensure both ...
Reuters
reuters.com › world › china › chinas-military-conduct-live-fire-exercises-around-taiwan-tuesday-2025-12-28
China stages record drills designed to encircle Taiwan | Reuters
3 weeks ago - BEIJING/TAIPEI, Dec 29 (Reuters) - China launched its most extensive war games around Taiwan on Monday to showcase Beijing's ability to cut off the island from outside support in a conflict, as U.S.
Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Cross-strait_relations
Cross-strait relations - Wikipedia
September 2, 2005 - In response, the PLA conducted unprecedented live-fire drills from 4 August in six zones around Taiwan, involving live ammunition, air assets, naval forces, and firing ballistic missiles near and over Taiwan. This marked the beginning of the Fourth Taiwan Strait Crisis, and China's biggest escalation in the region since the Third Taiwan Strait Crisis in 1996. Taiwan deployed ships and aircraft, but no military conflict occurred, though tensions escalated.
The Telegraph
telegraph.co.uk › world-news › 2026 › 01 › 03 › how-china-plans-to-land-the-worlds-largest-army-on-taiwan
How China plans to land the world’s largest army on Taiwan
A major military operation against Taiwan would likely take four times as long, and, said Mr Huang, China would effectively “squeeze Taiwan until it surrenders”. Beijing has been practising this type of coercion for years. It has routinely deployed hundreds of ships and planes around Taiwan as part of its “grey zone” pressure – activities that fall short of open warfare but aim to demonstrate strength in the lead-up to an actual conflict.
NYTimes
nytimes.com › 2026 › 01 › 17 › opinion › taiwan-china-war.html
Opinion | How War With China Begins - The New York Times
1 day ago - In this gray zone, China is already mounting cyberattacks, cutting internet cables and sending planes and ships toward Taiwan. It also holds live-fire military exercises, most recently a couple of weeks ago, to try to bully the island into accepting a future as some kind of autonomous zone under China’s oversight.
AP News
apnews.com › article › taiwan-national-security-journalist-cti-78a8064cc0efa1cf1644ef0676329293
Taiwan detains journalist for allegedly bribing military officers to provide information to China | AP News
3 days ago - Beijing, which claims Taiwan as its own territory and threatens to take control of the island by force if necessary, has been increasing military pressure against the island. Last month, China’s military launched large-scale drills around it for two days after a Washington announcement of large-scale arms sales to Taiwan.
Institute for the Study of War
understandingwar.org › home › china & taiwan update, january 16, 2026
China & Taiwan Update, January 16, 2026 | ISW
5 days ago - Opposition-led alternatives to the Special Defense Budget: The Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) announced on January 14 that it will propose a revised special defense budget, likely to break the legislative deadlock. BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) Combined Military Exercises: The PRC led military exercises with Iran, Russia, South Africa, and the United Arab Emirates from January 9 to 16.
BBC
bbc.com › news › world-asia-34729538
What's behind China-Taiwan tensions? - BBC News
October 14, 2024 - China has launched major military drills around Taiwan for the second time this year, simulating a full-scale attack on the island - just days after the Taiwanese President William Lai delivered his first National Day speech.
The Strategist
aspistrategist.org.au › home › xi’s taiwan scorecard: why 2026 is not the year
Xi’s Taiwan scorecard: why 2026 is not the year | The Strategist
1 week ago - A Chinese attempt at blockading or invading Taiwan in 2026 is unlikely. Instead, Beijing is likely to persist with its toolkit of coercive actions to erode Taiwan’s will and narrow its strategic options. President Xi ...