Biggest bullish run in decades tends to be good for leveraged funds. More on reddit.com

So this article's a year old but I've been trying to stay on top of this calculation. Keep in mind that usually the numbers that go in to this are a quarter or two old, and subject to revision, so you're not getting exact timing with this. Also my program recalculates the fit on each run so my numbers might not be exactly the same as his. Anyway here's the expected returns I get from the last few quarters: 7/2013: 3.96% 10/2013: 2.88% 1/2014: 2.82% 4/2014: 2.28% 7/2014: 2.62% These are the expected annualized total returns over the following 10 years. If you have a lot of faith in this method, you can chart out the expected trajectory of the market and this suggests that there is still plenty of upside in the current bull run. It can't rule out a possible near term overshoot, but should give you a strong sell signal and then a decent, 1-2 year recovery even if that happens. The low returns are due to slower expected growth after 2018-2019 turning into a bear market around 2021-2022. It's obviously a bit ridiculous to claim to have a road map on the market that far out. This method did not predict the 2000 crash far in advance, but gave a very strong sell signal for a couple years before its peak. OTOH it called the 2008 crash well in advance. It's always nice to have some sort of game plan even if you only treat it as one possibility among many. More on reddit.com

Why nasdaq and why not s&p. Cherry picking... Anyway I am with you I want to invest into US but no avenues are available now More on reddit.com