Reddit
reddit.com › r/bestof › u/mariachiarchery explains why china won't invade taiwan.
r/bestof on Reddit: u/MariachiArchery explains why China won't invade Taiwan.
3 weeks ago - A war with China will devastate Taiwan but China is unlikely to win it. Amphibious invasions are extremely bloody even under the best circumstances. More likely it will result in a stalemate that devastates both countries. I actually think China will try to invade Taiwan.
China ‘expects to be able to fight and defeat Taiwan’ by end of 2027, Pentagon finds | Beijing sharpening military options to seize Taiwan by ‘brute force’, says report
I’m so sick of 2027 being thrown around like it’s a fact. More on reddit.com
Does China have the inclination and/or ability to invade Taiwan?
Short answer: Yes. Long answer: China is still upscaling it's naval capabilities as it does have enough power for an invasion but faces two major challenges. First, how big will the group of outside support for Taiwan be? Possible considerable contributions could come from not just the US which is of course the main antagonist from Beijings perspective, but also from Japan, South Korea, Australia and maybe Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines or even Vietnam. Given their dependency on Taiwanese microchip manufacturing, a limited force from the EU and the UK is to be expected as well. It's one thing to invade a (heavily armed) island, it's a complete other thing to sustain a full siege around it for an indefinite amount of time until they surrender. More on reddit.com
What is going to prevent China from invading Taiwan?
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u/MariachiArchery explains why China won't invade Taiwan.
I thought the 2020s put the concept of "won't or can't happen" to bed. More on reddit.com
Videos
21:37
China’s invasion timetable for Taiwan - Asia Specific podcast, ...
31:55
China Can't Afford To Invade Taiwan. Here's Why - YouTube
03:17
No US intelligence suggests China will invade Taiwan in 2026: ...
08:35
When Will China Invade Taiwan? | Future Headlines | Daily Mail ...
02:57
China is circling Taiwan and it's creating fresh cause for concern ...
German Marshall Fund
gmfus.org › news › if-china-attacks-taiwan
If China Attacks Taiwan | German Marshall Fund of the United States
2 weeks ago - Research on the possibility and likely outcome of a conflict in the Taiwan Strait has expanded rapidly in recent years. Studies have focused on a broad range of questions related to deterrence, potential conflict dynamics, and possible conflict outcomes. Tabletop exercises have been used to identify gaps in the capabilities of the United States, the People’s Republic of China (PRC), and Taiwan to assess potential escalation pathways and to better understand war termination strategies.1 Comparatively less attention has been devoted to the potential impact of cross-Strait conflict on the PRC itself and how that impact could shape President Xi Jinping’s risk calculus and decision-making about use of force against Taiwan.
Stimson Center
stimson.org › security & strategy › defense policy & posture › rethinking the threat: why china is unlikely to invade taiwan
Rethinking the Threat: Why China is Unlikely to Invade Taiwan • Stimson Center
November 18, 2025 - While Taiwan’s natural landscape would make conquering the island difficult, the Taiwanese people would likely also strongly resist an invader. The decisionmakers in Beijing doubtlessly consider Taiwan’s capabilities as they make strategic decisions. However, if China’s leaders decide to launch an invasion, they must consider not only the geographic challenges, but also the readiness and will of Taiwanese population.
Domino Theory
dominotheory.com › no-the-u-s-didnt-just-give-china-grounds-to-invade-taiwan
No, the U.S. Didn’t Just Give China Grounds to Invade Taiwan - Domino Theory
2 weeks ago - China considers Taiwan to be a part of its territory already and thus frames any potential military engagement here as a purely domestic affair, not subject to international challenge. Beijing reacted fiercely to comparisons between Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and its own potential attempted annexation of Taiwan. It will likely move to quash any comparisons between Venezuela and Taiwan as well.
The Guardian
theguardian.com › world › 2025 › dec › 30 › trump-not-worried-china-military-live-fire-drills-taiwan
Trump ‘not worried’ as China’s live-fire Taiwan wargame enters second day | China | The Guardian
3 weeks ago - US president says Chinese leader did not notify him of drills that have involved live missile launches into Taiwan strait ... Donald Trump has said he is not worried by China’s live-fire military drills surrounding Taiwan and that he has a great relationship with the Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, who “hasn’t told me anything about it”.
YouTube
youtube.com › watch
Could China actually invade Taiwan? - What in the World podcast, BBC World Service - YouTube
Taiwan is an island about 180 kilometres off the coast of China - nearly 24 million people live there. Taiwan is self governed but China says it’s part of it...
Published December 16, 2025
Institute for the Study of War
understandingwar.org › home › china & taiwan update, november 25, 2025
China & Taiwan Update, November 25, 2025 | ISW
November 26, 2025 - The PLA has an estimated capacity to simultaneously move around 20,000 troops across the Taiwan Strait, which is well below the number that the PLA would require to invade Taiwan.[4] The PLA would likely need between 300,000 to over a million troops as well as their equipment in multiple waves of landings to seize control of Taiwan.
Reddit
reddit.com › r/lesscredibledefence › china ‘expects to be able to fight and defeat taiwan’ by end of 2027, pentagon finds | beijing sharpening military options to seize taiwan by ‘brute force’, says report
r/LessCredibleDefence on Reddit: China ‘expects to be able to fight and defeat Taiwan’ by end of 2027, Pentagon finds | Beijing sharpening military options to seize Taiwan by ‘brute force’, says report
1 month ago - As long as China has it's industrial momentum and Taiwan doesn't declare independence or the U.S. builds a base there nothing will happen. The Chinese economy is the real count down.
Reddit
reddit.com › r/military › does china have the inclination and/or ability to invade taiwan?
r/Military on Reddit: Does China have the inclination and/or ability to invade Taiwan?
April 16, 2025 -
The most important company that perhaps most people have never heard about is the Taiwan Semi-Conductor Company (TSMC). They have a monopoly on advanced semi-conductors. If you're reading this, you're using one of their products.
The big question mark around their stock (TSM) is "will Taiwan be invaded by China?" I wanted to get this sub's opinion. Does China have the inclination and/or the ability to invade Taiwan?
Thank you!
p.s. If this isnt the most appropriate sub for this question, I would appreciate being directed in the right direction.
Top answer 1 of 5
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Short answer: Yes. Long answer: China is still upscaling it's naval capabilities as it does have enough power for an invasion but faces two major challenges. First, how big will the group of outside support for Taiwan be? Possible considerable contributions could come from not just the US which is of course the main antagonist from Beijings perspective, but also from Japan, South Korea, Australia and maybe Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines or even Vietnam. Given their dependency on Taiwanese microchip manufacturing, a limited force from the EU and the UK is to be expected as well. It's one thing to invade a (heavily armed) island, it's a complete other thing to sustain a full siege around it for an indefinite amount of time until they surrender.
2 of 5
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Yes
Facebook
facebook.com › theirrawaddy › posts › trump-says-taiwan-decision-up-to-xi-but-warns-against-actionjanuary-9-2026us-pre › 1327364189418735
Trump says Taiwan decision 'up to Xi' but warns against ...
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