In the frequentist tradition (which is what you are using here) the random variable is the data. The population parameters are mathematically treated as constant. This is what leads to the somewhat counterintuitive "null hypothesis" setup we use in intro statistics, because the probability we return (usually in the form of a p-value) is a probability on the sample given constant population parameter set at the null hypothesis values.

I would imagine this is why you see the notation you do in introductory many textbooks.

Answer from Tanner Phillips on Stack Exchange
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Quora
quora.com › What-is-the-difference-between-p-and-P-hat-in-statistics
What is the difference between p and P (hat) in statistics? - Quora
Answer (1 of 7): In a binomial process, p is considered to be the exact probability of an event happening on a given trial. Ironically, if you run only one trial p hat is destined to be 1 if the event happens, and 0 if it does not.
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Reddit
reddit.com › r/askstatistics › difference between phat and po?
r/AskStatistics on Reddit: Difference between pHAT and pO?
May 10, 2017 -

Im doing some review for my Stats exam coming up. In my notes I wrote down that p^ (p hat) is the expected value while pO is the "observed" or actual value.

So if I were to say the "expected" number of successes is sample size n times p^ or n(p) is that correct? Because on the answer key it said the "expected number of successes" is n(pO) which translates to sample size n times the OBSERVED value.

EDIT: Did some more digging. I looked through the conditions needed to make a inference about a proportion.

One of the conditions was: Ho: pO, n(pO) and n(1-pO) had to be greater than or equal to 10 in order to do a significance test. For the confidenc interval you switch the pO for p.

Discussions

Is the sample proportion ($\hat p$) a random variable? - Cross Validated
Since it should vary from sample to sample, I suppose it should be a random variable. But if it is, when we write the variance of sample proportions, should we write an uppercase P-hat as the index More on stats.stackexchange.com
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What is the difference between p and p-hat? Explain. The difference is that p represents the true proportion of a...
What is the difference between p and p-hat? Explain. The difference is that p represents the true proportion of a characteristic in an entire population. P-hat is a sample proportion, where the data is a sample from a population. More on coursesidekick.com
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1
July 11, 2025
How to Calculate PHat?
Certainly! P-hat (p̂) is a statistical estimate of a population proportion based on sample data. It is commonly used in inferential statistics, particularly in hypothesis testing and confidence interval construction. More on geeksforgeeks.org
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1
February 16, 2024
Difference between pHAT and pO?
In my notes I wrote down that p^ (p hat) is the expected value while pO is the "observed" or actual value. That looks backwards. Normally ̭ p (p-hat) is the estimate (based on observed data) and pₒ (p-zero) is the hypothesized value (expected value) More on reddit.com
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1
2
May 10, 2017
People also ask

How do I find p-hat?

To find p-hat (i.e., sample proportion), you need to follow the next steps:

  1. Take the number of occurrences of an event or the number of successful outcomes.
  2. Divide it by the sample size.
  3. That's all! You have calculated p-hat.
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omnicalculator.com
omnicalculator.com › statistics › p-hat
P-Hat Calculator
What is the meaning of p-hat?

P-hat coveys the sample proportion, the ratio of certain events or characteristics occurring in a sample to the sample size. It can equal or differ from population proportion, which conveys a proportion of a particular feature associated with a population.

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omnicalculator.com
omnicalculator.com › statistics › p-hat
P-Hat Calculator
What is a p-value?
Ap-value, or probability value, is a number describing how likely it is that your data would have occurred under the null hypothesis of your statistical test.
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scribbr.com
scribbr.com › home › understanding p values | definition and examples
Understanding P-values | Definition and Examples
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Statistics LibreTexts
stats.libretexts.org › bookshelves › applied statistics › biostatistics - open learning textbook › unit 3b: sampling distribution
Sampling Distribution of the Sample Proportion, p-hat - Statistics LibreTexts
September 27, 2024 - If repeated random samples of a given size n are taken from a population of values for a categorical variable, where the proportion in the category of interest is p, then the mean of all sample proportions (p-hat) is the population proportion (p).
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Brainly
brainly.com › biology › high school › explain the difference between \( p \) and \( \hat{p} \).
[FREE] Explain the difference between p and \hat{p}
December 20, 2023 - The difference between p and p-hat is that p represents the population proportion, while p-hat represents the sample proportion.
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YouTube
youtube.com › watch
p vs phat - YouTube
The difference between p and p-hat
Published   September 28, 2013
Find elsewhere
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Scribbr
scribbr.com › home › understanding p values | definition and examples
Understanding P-values | Definition and Examples
June 22, 2023 - The p-value shows the likelihood of your data occurring under the null hypothesis. P-values help determine statistical significance.
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Wumbo
wumbo.net › symbols › p-hat
P Hat Symbol (p̂)
In statistics, the p-hat symbol (written as p̂, with a “hat” or “caret” over the letter p) is used to represent the proportion of a sample with a particular characteristic or outcome.
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Omni Calculator
omnicalculator.com › statistics › p-hat
P-Hat Calculator
January 18, 2024 - The sample proportion or p-hat, ... to the sample size. In other words, p-hat indicates the proportion of individuals in a sample who share a specific characteristic or interest....
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ProPrep
proprep.com › questions › discuss-the-differences-between-p-hat-vs-p-in-the-context-of-sample-statistics-and-population-parame
Discuss the differences between p hat vs. p in the context of sample statistics and population parameters.
August 1, 2018 - Stuck on a STEM question? Post your question and get video answers from professional experts: In the context of statistics, understanding the difference betw...
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Wccnet
courses.wccnet.edu › ~palay › math160r › 2popproport.htm
Two Populations; Proportions
ci_2popproportion <- function( n_one, x_one, n_two, x_two, cl=0.95) { phat_one <- x_one / n_one phat_two <- x_two / n_two pe <- phat_one - phat_two alpha=1-cl alphadiv2<-alpha/2 z <- qnorm(alphadiv2, lower.tail=FALSE) std_err <- sqrt( phat_one*(1-phat_one)/n_one + phat_two*(1-phat_two)/n_two) moe <- z*std_err ci_low <- pe - moe ci_high <- pe + moe result <- c( ci_low, ci_high, moe, std_err, z, alphadiv2, phat_one, phat_two) names( result ) <- c("ci low", "ci_high", "M of E", "Std. Err", "z-value", "alpha/2", "p hat 1", "p hat 2") return( result ) } Once this function is defined, we can load it and use it to solve the two problems presented above via commands such as ·
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Course Sidekick
coursesidekick.com › questions & answers › statistics and probability › what is the difference between p and p-hat? explain. the difference is that p represents the true proportion of a...
[Solved] What is the difference between p and p-hat? Explain. The difference is that p represents the true proportion of a... | Course Sidekick
July 11, 2025 - What is the difference between p and p-hat? Explain. The difference is that p represents the true proportion of a characteristic in an entire population. P-hat is a sample proportion, where the data is a sample from a population.
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Dummies
dummies.com › article › academics-the-arts › math › statistics › how-to-find-the-sampling-distribution-of-a-sample-proportion-169847
How to Find the Sampling Distribution of a Sample Proportion | dummies
July 2, 2025 - (pronounced p-hat), is the proportion of individuals in the sample who have that particular characteristic; in other words, the number of individuals in the sample who have that characteristic of interest divided by the total sample size (n).
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GeeksforGeeks
geeksforgeeks.org › mathematics › how-to-calculate-p-hat
How to Calculate P-Hat? - GeeksforGeeks
February 16, 2024 - In summary, P-hat (p̂) is calculated by dividing the number of successes by the total number of observations in the sample.
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Fiveable
fiveable.me › all key terms › ap statistics › p-hat (sample proportion)
P-hat (sample proportion) Definition - AP Statistics Key Term | Fiveable
p-hat is a statistic that represents the proportion of a certain outcome in a sample, calculated as the number of successes divided by the total number of observations in that sample. This concept is crucial when estimating population proportions, especially in constructing confidence intervals, ...
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University of North Dakota
cs.uni.edu › ~campbell › stat › inf6.html
Proportions
However. sometimes it is convenient to use proportions (e.g., the fraction of the population who approve of Clinton) rather than the actual count (the number of people who approve of Clinton). If the sample size is n, the proportion can be obtained from the count by division by n: p-hat = X/n ...
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BrownMath
brownmath.com › swt › symbol.htm
Symbol Sheet / SWT
In geometric and binomial probability distributions, p is the probability of “success” (defined here in Chapter 6) on any one trial and q = (1−p) is the probability of “failure” (the only other possibility) on any one trial.