Elm Wealth
elmwealth.com › home › research › how likely is a stock market crash?
How Likely is a Stock Market Crash? - Elm Wealth
2 weeks ago - We estimate the real probability of a 30% U.S. stock market drop over the next year using history, surveys, prediction markets, and options pricing. The result may surprise you.
Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com › news › prediction-2-popular-stocks-crash-091500397.html
Prediction: 2 Popular Stocks Will Crash in 2026 as This Stock Market Bubble Bursts (Hint: Not Palantir)
2 weeks ago - I expect both stocks to crash next year when the quantum computing bubble inevitably bursts.
Realistically speaking what would it take for a stock market crash to occur?
It's when I start buying. More on reddit.com
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October 22, 2025What are your investing predictions for 2026 and why?
I predict a massive crash because I'm finally getting to a point where I have a truly significant amount of money invested. More on reddit.com
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2 weeks agoDo you guys think stock market will crash in 2021?
I expect this year to be very volatile, ... any crash would happen later in 2021/early 2022. ... I can definitely see that. I’m not sure how long this run will last, but I feel a sense of impending doom and am fighting with myself to not pull my money out of the market. I know it’s not right to try to time the market, but it just doesn’t feel right. ... Can't predict, but I'm keeping ... More on reddit.com
Does anyone else think a catastrophic market crash is NOT coming anytime soon?
My guess is that when interest rates start rising again, a disproportionate number of zombie companies are going to go belly up creating much more unemployment; this will trigger the next market downturn. Until then, investors are going to continue buying equities instead of treasuries and bonds, further driving up market volume and prices. IMO, predicting when this will all occur is a fool’s errand, so it’s best to stay the course and dollar cost average your investments and retirement funds. More on reddit.com
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October 14, 2020Videos
17:45
This 150-Year-Old Chart Predicts A Crash In 2026 - YouTube
29:22
‘Hurricane Coming’: Brutal Warning For Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold ...
10:46
Warren Buffett's Warning! The Stock Market Crash of 2026! - YouTube
16:13
How to Prepare for the Next Stock Crash (European Investor) - YouTube
15:50
You're Not Going to Predict the Next Market Crash - YouTube
11:13
Stock Market Predictions 2026 - Will it Crash? - YouTube
Nasdaq
nasdaq.com › articles › prediction-2-popular-stocks-will-crash-2026-stock-market-bubble-bursts-hint-not-palantir
Prediction: 2 Popular Stocks Will Crash in 2026 as This Stock Market Bubble Bursts (Hint: Not Palantir) | Nasdaq
3 weeks ago - I expect both stocks to crash next year when the quantum computing bubble inevitably bursts.
The Motley Fool
fool.com › investing › 2025 › 12 › 08 › prediction-this-stock-market-bubble-will-burst-in
Prediction: This Stock Market Bubble Will Burst in 2026 and 1 Popular Stock Will Crash (Hint: Not Quantum Computing) | The Motley Fool
3 weeks ago - With that said, I think time will tell which companies will actually last and which will crash -- as is what happened during the dot-com bubble burst in early 2000. In 2026, I think investors will witness sharp corrections across a number of ...
Yahoo!
uk.finance.yahoo.com › news › don-t-care-stock-market-075100028.html
I don’t care if the stock market crashes in 2026. I’m buying bargain shares today
3 weeks ago - The reality is, in the short term, the stock market’s near-impossible to predict.
IMD
imd.org › home › industry › financial services (industry) › what do those who foresaw the 2008 financial crisis expect today?
Those Who Foresaw 2008 Financial Crisis - What to expect today - I by IMD
November 21, 2025 - Whitney predicts, “The next downturn is already underway.” · According to Schulmeister, this means that stock market traders are believing less and less in the inevitable succession of bull and bear markets. Born in 1947, Stephan Schulmeister worked for the Austrian Institute of Economic Research (Wifo) for more than 40 years. In an interview, he warns that “the consequences of a stock market crash would be much more devastating today than in 2008.”
Morningstar
morningstar.com › economy › what-weve-learned-150-years-stock-market-crashes
Stock Market Crashes: A Look at 150 Years of Bear Markets | Morningstar
1 month ago - Though the initial drop was dramatic, the market ultimately recovered in just four months—the fastest recovery of any market crash over the past 150 years. So, what have we learned from these recent crashes? It’s impossible to predict how long a stock market recovery will take.
The Economist
economist.com › leaders › november 15th 2025 edition
How markets could topple the global economy
November 13, 2025 - IF AMERICA’S stockmarket crashes, it will be one of the most predicted financial implosions in history. Everyone from bank bosses to the IMF has warned about the stratospheric valuations of America’s tech companies.
Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com › news › goldman-morgan-stanley-ceos-predict-113613635.html
Goldman and Morgan Stanley CEOs predict corrections of up to 20%, sparking global selloff
November 4, 2025 - Onstage, Goldman Sachs CEO David Solomon said: “It’s likely there’ll be a 10% to 20% drawdown in equity markets sometime in the next 12 to 24 months.” · On the same panel, Morgan Stanley CEO Ted Pick agreed: “We should also welcome ...
The Economist
economist.com › finance & economics › november 8th 2025 edition
Why Wall Street won’t see the next crash coming
November 2, 2025 - David Solomon, Mr Dimon’s opposite number at Goldman Sachs, talks of “investor exuberance”; Jane Fraser, Citigroup’s boss, of “valuation frothiness”. The Bank of England recently cautioned that “the risk of a sharp market correction has increased.” The IMF worries about a “disorderly” one, since “risk asset prices are well above fundamentals”.
Motley Fool Australia
fool.com.au › home › how to invest › what warren buffett says to do about a coming market crash
What Warren Buffett says to do about a coming market crash
October 28, 2025 - So, what would Warren Buffett say about a "coming market crash"? Probably nothing. He'd remind us that it's inevitable but also survivable. Crashes come and go. Quality endures. And as Buffett has shown for seven decades, investing success isn't about predicting storms.
Yahoo!
uk.finance.yahoo.com › news › next-stock-market-crash-happen-061100757.html
Here’s when the next stock market crash will happen, according to this billionaire investor!
October 25, 2025 - With the UK and US stock markets reaching record highs in 2025, warnings are emerging of an incoming correction, or maybe even a full-blown crash.
The Motley Fool
fool.com › investing › 2025 › 10 › 19 › is-the-stock-market-going-to-crash-in-2026-2-histo
Is the Stock Market Going to Crash in 2026? 2 Historically Flawless Indicators Paint a Clear Picture. | The Motley Fool
October 19, 2025 - The S&P 500 Shiller CAPE ratio has been eerily prescient in predicting major stock market declines. Note the spike in 1929 on the chart below. It preceded the infamous stock market crash in October of that year. The highest value ever for the metric came in late 1999 and early 2000.
The Guardian
theguardian.com › business › 2025 › oct › 09 › head-of-jpmorgan-chase-warns-of-risk-of-american-stock-market-crash
Head of largest US bank warns of risk of American stock market crash | JP Morgan | The Guardian
October 10, 2025 - The chance of the US stock market crashing is far greater than many financiers believe, the head of America’s largest bank has said. Jamie Dimon, who is the chair and chief executive of the giant Wall Street bank JPMorgan Chase, said he was “far more worried than others” about a serious market correction, which he predicted could come in the next six months to two years.
Reddit
reddit.com › r/investing › realistically speaking what would it take for a stock market crash to occur?
r/investing on Reddit: Realistically speaking what would it take for a stock market crash to occur?
October 22, 2025 -
Is it when retail are forced to sell their positions, even at a loss because they lack the funds to cover bills, etc?
So like recession times? Is it when unemployment rates are high? is it when disposable income is at its lowest? is it when people can't affford new triple A games? etc.
U.S. Bank
usbank.com › investing › financial-perspectives › market-news › is-a-market-correction-coming.html
Is a Market Correction Coming? | U.S. Bank
July 9, 2025 - While markets at new all-time highs sometimes present risks, Haworth also notes, “New all-time highs are often followed by new all-time highs.” · Now is an important time to check in with a wealth planning professional to ensure you are comfortable with your current investments and that your portfolio aligns with your time horizon, risk appetite and long-term financial goals. The S&P 500 Index consists of 500 widely traded stocks that are considered to represent the performance of the U.S.
ScienceDirect
sciencedirect.com › science › article › abs › pii › S1572308922001206
Forecasting Stock Market Crashes via Machine Learning - ScienceDirect
December 19, 2022 - In terms of statistical predictive performance, a support vector machine-based crash prediction model outperforms a random classifier and is superior to the average univariate benchmark as well as a multivariate logistic regression model. Incorporating nonlinear and interactive effects is both imperative and foundation for the outperformance of support vector machines. Their ability to forecast stock market crashes out-of-sample translates into substantial value-added to active investors.
Reddit
reddit.com › r/investing › what are your investing predictions for 2026 and why?
r/investing on Reddit: What are your investing predictions for 2026 and why?
2 weeks ago -
With another year wrapping up, I’m curious how people here are thinking about next year.
What do you think will be the biggest drivers of returns by the end of 2026? Are you making any portfolio adjustments now based on those views?
It's going to be an interesting year for sure..lol.
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I predict a massive crash because I'm finally getting to a point where I have a truly significant amount of money invested.
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Sorry for the most boring answer, but in 21 years of investing, I've learned that my portfolio earns most when I just don't touch it, or try to pick sectors or stocks. I would have significantly more money if I had just stuck to my current allocation of 65% VTI/ 20% VXUS / 5% VB (vanguard small cap)/ 5% GLD/ 5% IBIT. The only thing I've changed in the last 5 years is I had 10% GLD before IBIT started. I liked to have the gold for inflation/stagflation/US underperformance like 1969-1979 and 2000-2010. I rolled 5% of the GLD to Ibit, seeing it as "digital gold". I should probably roll some of my VTI into more VXUS, because of the US over performance recently, but it's really hard mentally for me to add more VXUS- I've read all the theory and intellectually I understand I should have more VXUS, it's just hard for me to pull the trigger on re-allocation when foreign has VASTLY underperformed for basically my entire investing career. Having said all that, I do expect worse US performance in the next 10 years, and I expect the US to keep printing- which is why i have the the GLD and Ibit.
Yahoo!
uk.finance.yahoo.com › news › asked-chatgpt-stock-market-crash-092112726.html
I asked ChatGPT if the stock market is about to crash! Here’s what it said
October 17, 2025 - Whether that correction turns into a full-blown crash depends heavily on catalyst events (policy missteps, credit stress, geopolitical shock, earnings disappointments) and investor sentiment“. I’m not a fan of using AI to make stock market predictions, share tips or anything else to do with investing.