Primedope
primedope.com › poker-variance-calculator
Poker Variance Calculator - Primedope
Poker Variance Calculator for cash games. Displays variance, possible downswings, upswings and probabilities depending on your win rate.
Getcoach
getcoach.poker › calculators › winrate-variance
Poker Variance Calculator | Getcoach.poker
With this poker variance calculator, you can estimate the deviations of your possible win rate depending on your distance, game type, and limit.
Pokerdope Poker Variance Calculator - Gambling and Probability - Probability Theory Forum
Hi Everyone: I was looking at the Pokerdope Poker Variance Calculator. which can be found at: http://pokerdope.com/poker-variance-calculator/ In the ex More on forumserver.twoplustwo.com
Variance, Field Size, and ROI in MTTs
thanks for that dude! More on reddit.com
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April 29, 2015Variance and Sample Size
"Swongs can be linear." ~Furples
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June 3, 2013Quantifying variance - what's the standard deviation of winrate per hour at live 5/10?
One thing to consider here is the central limit theorem . Basically, when you sum many values from the same distribution, the result will be approximately normal. So, even if your results per session are not distributed normally, it may be the case that your annual results are. Your results per hand are not going to be normally distributed (one simple way to see that is that you can triple up, but you can only lose 1 buy-in, so it's not symmetric). I would also not assume that your results per session are normal, even though they are a sum of hands. The reason is that the hands are not independent, because the results of one hand affect your stack size for your next hand. More on reddit.com
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April 20, 2018Videos
Reddit
reddit.com › r/poker › need help understanding variance calculator
r/poker on Reddit: Need help understanding variance calculator
March 3, 2024 -
This is an incredibly small sample size I know. Just started playing 1/3 this year after mainly playing online tournaments for fun. I’ve been studying diligently and trying to apply what I’ve learned at the table.
I just do not understand what the graph and results are telling me. Any help would be greatly appreciated.
Currently at 58BB/100 @1600 hands which again I know from reading this sub is a minute sample size. Just looking for some insight into the graph/results.
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you dont plug in your winrate after 1600 hands into a variance calculator- you learn nothing from this What u should be doing is play around with different winrates and see what the expected downswings can look like so you can prepare urself
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It calculates confidence intervals for your true win rate analytically as well as calculating potential graphs via simulation. In this case it ran 1000 simulations, and the worst graph in that set of 1000 simulations was the dark brown one and the best one was the blue one. However the light and dark green quantiles are smooth rather than stochastic because they are calculated analytically using the observed win rate (58bb/100) and standard deviation (119bb/100) that you input to the calculator. 58bb/100 is an unbiased estimate of your true win rate but it’s a very noisy estimate. The 95% confidence interval means that under repeated trials of 1000 simulations it will cover that true win rate 95% of the time. It also provides a similar probability calculation of 97.44% of having an observed win rate better than 0bb/100 if your actual win rate was 58b/100 if you ran a new simulation. It’s calculating the confidence interval for every single time point. You want to compare the confidence intervals for your observed win rate (58bb/100) under different standard deviations. In theory full ring games should have lower standard deviation than heads up or 6max but that’s probably not the case in cash games that are so soft you can win 58bb/100. If you want a very conservative estimate of the uncertainty of your win rate you should try standard deviations of 150 or even 200 if that’s a good description of the games you play in.
APCHFW
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variance calculator poker
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Slots Paradise
slotsparadise.com › home › news › poker › poker-variance-calculator-maximize-your-winnings
Poker Variance Calculator: Master Volatility in Your Game - Slots Paradise
December 18, 2024 - The Poker Variance Calculator measures and analyzes your game's volatility, unveiling hidden patterns and trends.
Husng
husng.com › content › variance-calculator
Variance Calculator | Heads Up Poker And Spin and Go Videos
Click on the link below to use the variance calculator (Note: You need to be logged into a free HUSNG account to use the variance calculator).
Primedope
primedope.com › tournament-variance-calculator
Tournament Variance Calculator - Primedope
Poker Tournament Variance Simulator – calculates variance for poker tournaments, MTTs and SNGs.
Poker
poker.academy › variance-calculator
Tournament Variance Calculator
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GipsyTeam
gipsyteam.com › poker › poker-variance-calculator
Poker Variance Calculator Guide for Beginner Users | GipsyTeam.Com
September 28, 2024 - Higher population mean higher variance. Places paid: The number of players who make the money. Buy-in (in $): The tournament entry fee. Rake (in %): The poker room's commission. Return on Investment (in %): Your ROI at this tournament level. How many are you going to play? The number of tournaments to calculate.
Wizard of Odds
wizardofodds.com › home › calculators › video poker analyzer
Video Poker Analyzer Calculator - Optimize Your Play - Wizard of Odds
October 3, 2024 - The video poker Analyzer is actually a calculator that can analyze any type of pay table for numerous different sorts of video poker games and variations…
WSOP Hub
vip-grinders.com › poker-calculators › poker-variance-simulator
Poker Variance Calculator & Simulator 2025
November 5, 2025 - Simulate poker variance and track downswings, upswings, and risk instantly. Free tool estimates win rates, confidence intervals, and bankroll size.
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Stat Trek
stattrek.com › online-calculator › hypergeometric
Hypergeometric Distribution Probability Calculator
We might ask: What is the probability of selecting exactly 3 red cards? In this example, selecting a red card (a heart or a diamond) would be classified as a success; and selecting a black card (a club or a spade) would be classified as a failure. Using the hypergeometric calculator, you can compute this probability.
Twoplustwo
forumserver.twoplustwo.com › two plus two forums › other topics › probability › pokerdope poker variance calculator
Pokerdope Poker Variance Calculator - Gambling and Probability - Probability Theory Forum
May 14, 2017 - Hi Everyone: I was looking at the Pokerdope Poker Variance Calculator. which can be found at: http://pokerdope.com/poker-variance-calculator/ In the example he has a winrate in BB / 100 of 2.5BB and a standard deviation per 100 of 100BB. And this gives him a minimum bankroll for less than 5% risk of ruin (»?«) of 5991 BB.
Limp Lab
limplab.com › calculators › variance
Variance Calculator
January 14, 2025 - Understand variance in poker with this guide and calculator.
Run It Once
runitonce.com › nlhe › poker-variance-calculator-and-multi-tabling
poker variance calculator and multi tabling | Run It Once
https://www.primedope.com/poker-variance-calculator/ how do you account for multi tabling after using this calculator? is the min bankroll requirement for 1 table and i multiply it by the n
YouTube
youtube.com › conscious poker by alec torelli
How to Use a Poker Variance Calculator - YouTube
Learn how to determine your variance in poker, minimum bankroll needed, return on investment, hourly rate and more using a poker variance calculator. Full Bl...
Published December 30, 2019 Views 3K
GTO Wizard
blog.gtowizard.com › home › variance and bankroll management
Variance and Bankroll Management | GTO Wizard
February 29, 2024 - How much you should risk depends on your win rate and variance. Just remember that Kelly is the boundary, not the goal! You should invest less than Kelly in practice. We can use math to translate a poker win rate in Cash Games or other formats to optimal BRM strategies. We’ve built a handy BRM Optimization tool to help you move up faster! 💪 · This calculator finds the minimum bankroll required to justify moving up stakes and taking on more variance in exchange for a higher hourly win rate.
Coin Poker
coinpoker.com › strategy › math › variance
A Complete Guide to Poker Variance | CoinPoker
BB/100 Method: For cash games, multiply your BB/100 by 100 and take the square root for an estimate of standard deviation in BB/100. Variance Calculators: Online tools can help you calculate variance based on your results, win rate, and number of hands played.
Beatingbonuses
beatingbonuses.com › calc.htm
Casino Game Return & Variance Calculator
Casino game expected return and variance calculator