Here are my predictions for the top ten movies of the summer! I will definitely be wrong but I love doing this every year, so here goes.
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Despicable Me 4 I tried looking for a potential break-out movie like Barbie or Top Gun, but the only movie I could find that really fits that mold would be Twisters, and I just don’t see it. So i’m going to play it safe. It’s no secret that this franchise has been a consistent box office behemoth, and it will essentially have the entire month of July to itself as the only family movie in the market place, aside from Inside Out 2, which will be well into its theatrical run by that point. Speaking of…
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Inside Out 2 I know that Pixar has not been on a hot streak lately, but all of their direct sequels have been big money-makers, and the first Inside Out is considered by a lot of people to be one of Pixar’s best. Unless the movie really sucks, I don’t see how this doesn’t do better than the first one. If this flops, I think that’s a good indicator that Disney has irreparably conditioned people into waiting for their animated movies to go to Disney+.
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Deadpool and Wolverine Every time a Marvel movie has released in the summer in the last decade or so, That movie has been at least in the top 3 of the summer. I am betting on the movie being good, but as we saw last year, audiences are not content with mediocrity, so if it ends up letting people down, this movie could be in real trouble. But for now, I have to put it at #3.
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Bad Boys: Ride or Die This might be my hot take in this list. I like to use my girlfriend as a litmus test for people who don’t see a ton of movies like I do (even though I usually bring her with me every time I go), and she is more excited for this movie than any other movie this summer. I think people underestimate how much casuals enjoy this franchise, and overestimate whether or not people still care about the Will Smith slap. Another movie where the box office will likely be reflective of the quality of the movie, but the last Bad Boys movie making as much as it did really makes me confident in this placement.
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The Garfield Movie Maybe this is a stupid choice, but bear with me. It’ll be the first animated kids movie in theaters since Kung Fu Panda, and it’s a Garfield movie. That’s really my only justification for it, I don’t think it’s going to be good but I think that the name recognition alone will sell it.
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A Quiet Place: Day One Spin-offs and Prequels are hard to predict, but I am betting on the goodwill of the first two movies. I think the trailer looks incredible, I think we’re at a point in this franchise where we are ready to see how it all went down, and the other movies made a ton of money. Don’t really see this one disappointing.
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Twisters Maybe this will do better, but it has to compete with Deadpool the following week and that has me worried for its legs. But I think that the trailer makes it look like a good time, Glen Powell is on a hot streak, I think if Hit Man does well on Netflix maybe that gives this movie a boost too. If they really push this as a Premium/IMAX screen experience, that’ll also help its box office.
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Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes This one is tough, because once again, I think the quality is going to be the determining factor of this movie’s box office. It has to compete with the continued run of The Fall Guy, which we know has good reviews. But it’s been long enough since the last apes movies that maybe people are eager to return to this world again. I know I am.
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The Fall Guy One of the only movies on this list that we have reviews for already, I am curious how that’ll pan out at the box office. It stars two people that were in the two biggest movies of last year, and it looks like fun. I think it’ll do okay but not great.
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Furiosa I have no idea what to do with this movie. If it’s as good as Fury Road, I still don’t know if that would translate to a high box office. There are plenty of R-rated action films to choose from this summer, and maybe they waited too long to make this movie. I think it’s in danger of being left out of the top 10, which is why I have it at 10.
What are your predictions? Anything you want to add?