A consensus outlook for the 2026 House Elections based on the current ratings of these three forecasters.

Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "Which party will win the U.S. House this year?", or trade it yourself.

Who will control the Congress? Review and predict the outcome of the 435 House races in the midterm 2026 election.

August 28, 2025 - The president’s job approval has a strong impact on the outcome of midterm House elections. The odds that public sentiment will shift enough to extend Republicans’ control of the House seems low, an assessment reinforced by the parties’ changing demographic bases.

The CPR House Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all 435 House elections.

December 10, 2025 - To read recent stories on the race for the House, click here. 2026 House Ratings Updated Dec. 10, 2025 House district presidential loyalty in Trump-era elections, using 2024 districts

4 hours ago - The party out of power typically gains ground in midterm elections, and these early surveys suggest this may be taking shape ahead of 2026. Democrats lead in the vast majority of recent polls, though by single-digit margins.

The model takes into account the recent electoral history of each district, the latest polling, fundraising, and other key data. In 2026, Democrats are seeking to reclaim the House majority, after coming tantalizingly close to victory in two ...

Odds update every minute | Last updated: 8:52PM EST on Jan 09, 2026

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10 hours ago - This is a list of congressional seats that voted for one party in the 2024 presidential election and another in the 2024 House elections. This lists the 16 districts in which Donald Trump won in 2024 that are represented by Democrats: This lists the 8 districts which Kamala Harris won in 2024 that are represented by Republicans: In the United States, all states with multiple congressional districts are required to revise their district maps following each decennial census to account for population changes. In 2026, most states will use the same districts created in the redistricting cycle following the 2020 census, which were first used in the 2022 elections.

Find out which party will win the House in the 2026 midterm election. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions, politics, and much more! You can even make money on PredictIt!

1 day ago - Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election. In total there are 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 218 are needed for a majority, while 290 seats are needed for a two-thirds supermajority (if all members are sitting and voting).

Meanwhile, Republicans can lose no more than two districts and retain a majority in the House. As of December 19, 2025, nine incumbent senators and 44 incumbent representatives are not running for re-election in 2026.

House elections. In this section, you will find: A list of districts targeted by each political party ... The table below lists each district that the DCCC has announced it will target in 2026, alongside the margin of victory in each district in the 2024 congressional elections.[55]

View real-time odds on "Which party will win the House in 2026?" as of January 10, 2026, and trade on The World's Largest Prediction Market™

2 days ago - Elections are scheduled to be held in the United States, in large part, on November 3, 2026. In this U.S. midterm election, scheduled to occur during Republican president Donald Trump's second term, all 435 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives ...

Efforts to extend them continue, but lawmakers and strategists are already moving to turn the lapsed tax credits into a potent election-year attack on Republicans. ... This multiple-choice look at the year ahead offers predictions on Trump, Congress, the courts and the political surprises of 2026.

November 20, 2025 - We project that 81% of House seats will be safe for one party, with another 9% leaning strongly to one party – 18 months before the election.

November 5, 2025 - Democrats now hold over 70 percent odds of winning back the US House of Representatives in the 2026 elections. Prediction markets show a strong Democratic advantage. However, Republicans are defending a slim majority and have seen some gains.