A consensus outlook for the 2026 House Elections based on the current ratings of these three forecasters.

Who will control the Congress? Review and predict the outcome of the 435 House races in the midterm 2026 election.

4 weeks ago - To read recent stories on the race for the House, click here. 2026 House Ratings Updated Dec. 10, 2025 House district presidential loyalty in Trump-era elections, using 2024 districts

1 day ago - The winners of this election will serve in the 120th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2020 United States census and revised district maps as a result of the 2025–2026 United States redistricting.

Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "Which party will win the U.S. House this year?", or trade it yourself.

The CPR House Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all 435 House elections.

The model takes into account the recent electoral history of each district, the latest polling, fundraising, and other key data. In 2026, Democrats are seeking to reclaim the House majority, after coming tantalizingly close to victory in two ...

15 October 2025 - Republican Party may gain or lose in the November 2026 midterm elections. Through this model, they predict that the GOP are likely to lose 28 seats next year, and control of the US House of Representatives....

4 days ago - Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election. In total there are 435 seats in the House of Representatives, 218 are needed for a majority, while 290 seats are needed for a two-thirds supermajority (if all members are sitting and voting).

1 day ago - The party out of power typically gains ground in midterm elections, and these early surveys suggest this may be taking shape ahead of 2026. Democrats lead in the vast majority of recent polls, though by single-digit margins.

The current consensus forecast for the 2026 House elections. All 435 seats will be contested.

1 week ago - Democrats will retake the US House’s majority in the 2026 midterm elections, the chamber’s former speaker Nancy Pelosi has confidently predicted – and she hopes her party colleagues then seize back the congressional power that Republicans have all but ceded to Donald Trump.

House elections. In this section, you will find: A list of districts targeted by each political party ... The table below lists each district that the DCCC has announced it will target in 2026, alongside the margin of victory in each district in the 2024 congressional elections.[53]

20 November 2025 - We project that 81% of House seats will be safe for one party, with another 9% leaning strongly to one party – 18 months before the election.

20 hours ago - When members of Congress from the ... members and senators have announced they are not running for reelection — 56 out of 535, or more than 10%....

4 days ago - 8) After next year’s election, the Trump-ordered redrawing of red state House maps and subsequent arms race will be seen as: A) A political masterstroke B) Having helped Democrats retake the House C) The hinge point marking Trump’s slide from full control of the GOP D) Close to a wash: Republicans picked up a few seats but between the Trump-imposed redraw and the new maps enacted after the Supreme Court guts the Voting Rights Act, the GOP got greedy and imperiled a few incumbents who lost in a difficult year after their previously-safe districts absorbed more Democrats.

20 February 2025 - As Democrats eye a slim path to House majority in 2026, these five battleground districts could decide it all. From a potential gubernatorial bid shaking up New York’s 17th to shifting Hispanic voter trends in Texas, Inside Elections‘ Nathan Gonzales breaks down the races that could make ...

Meanwhile, Republicans can lose no more than two districts and retain a majority in the House. As of December 19, 2025, nine incumbent senators and 44 incumbent representatives are not running for re-election in 2026.

The latest news, analysis and updates on the 2026 elections. ... This multiple-choice look at the year ahead offers predictions on Trump, Congress, the courts and the political surprises of 2026.