🌐
Janus Henderson
janushenderson.com › corporate › article › ai-versus-the-dotcom-bubble-8-reasons-the-ai-wave-is-different
AI versus the Dotcom Bubble: 8 reasons the AI wave is different - Janus Henderson Investors - Global Corporate
October 16, 2025 - Since the artificial intelligence (AI) big bang of November 2022, AI-related technology stocks have outperformed significantly evoking comparisons and fears about a dotcom-like bubble, as we saw in the late 1990s. Most commentaries including AI comparisons provide hindsight assessments and ...
🌐
Reddit
reddit.com › r/artificialinteligence › stop comparing ai with the dot-com bubble
r/ArtificialInteligence on Reddit: Stop comparing AI with the dot-com bubble
August 8, 2025 -

Honestly, I bought into the narrative, but not anymore because the numbers tell a different story. Pets.com had ~$600K revenue before imploding. Compare that with OpenAI announcing $10B ARR (June 2025). Anthropic’s revenue has risen from $100M in 2023 to $4.5B in mid-2025. Even xAI, the most bubble-like, is already pulling $100M.

AI is already inside enterprise workflows, government systems, education, design, coding, etc. Comparing it to a dot-com style wipeout just doesn’t add up.

Discussions

[OC] S&P 500 Comparing Dotcom and AI Bubbles with Two Scales
This is definitely a better visualization, but the trend line is weird to interpret. If we’re estimating magnitude of bubble by area above the trend line then you can’t really do that for a bubble you’re currently in. If it’s a bubble, once the bubble pops it’ll drag the trendline down with it. Whereas now it’s pulling the trendline up. The comparison only works if you estimate your trend line on a point in time that isn’t a bubble or recession, which is very hard to define and prove. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/dataisbeautiful
212
3714
November 18, 2025
Stop comparing AI with the dot-com bubble
the comparison is in the ROI not that its being used. DOTCOM lots of websites were being used and everyone had their own homepage. Currently alot of the larger AI players are running at a loss in hopes to either find a breakthrough that will drive costs down or to slowly onboard till the real costs come up. Currently if these companies required payment = the costs of running the product it would be way to exponent. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/ArtificialInteligence
293
319
August 8, 2025
The AI bubble is 17 times the size of the dot-com frenzy — and four times the subprime bubble, analyst says
The AI bubble will go one of three ways it will stagnate til everything catches up to, which would be bad for investors but not horrible for the economy it will slowly deflate, which would bad for investors and bad for the economy it will pop and it will be very very bad for everyone More on reddit.com
🌐 r/Economics
928
9990
August 31, 2025
Wall Street’s AI Bubble Is Worse Than the 1999 Dot-com Bubble: This means when it crashes, the AI that arises from the ashes will be different. What will it be?
Betting on crashes is all about timing and I can guarantee you wont have the timing right or the money to keep betting More on reddit.com
🌐 r/Futurology
230
505
May 3, 2025
🌐
VanEck
vaneck.com › us › en › blogs › thematic-investing › is-ai-a-bubble-the-dot-com-bubble-vs-todays-ai-revolution
Is AI a Bubble? The Dot-Com Bubble vs. Today’s AI Revolution | VanEck
October 15, 2025 - SMH and SMHX offer investors exposure to both AI hardware build-out and chip design innovation. Artificial intelligence is driving one of the most significant infrastructure build-outs in modern history. Unlike the dot-com boom of the late 1990s, today’s AI expansion is being led by profitable global companies deploying existing cash flow.
🌐
CNN
cnn.com › 2025 › 10 › 18 › business › ai-bubble-analyst-nightcap
Why this analyst says the AI bubble is 17 times bigger than the dot-com bust | CNN Business
October 18, 2025 - Earlier this month, Garran published ... a “misallocation of capital in the US” that makes the current frenzy 17 times bigger than the dot-com bubble and four times bigger than the 2008 real-estate bubble....
🌐
IntuitionLabs
intuitionlabs.ai › home › articles › ai bubble vs. dot-com bubble: a data-driven comparison
AI Bubble vs. Dot-com Bubble: A Data-Driven Comparison | IntuitionLabs
October 21, 2025 - For example, the forward price/earnings (P/E) ratio on the Nasdaq-100 reached an astonishing ~60× in March 2000, versus roughly 26× as of late 2023 ([1]). Major AI-related firms like NVIDIA and Alphabet/Microsoft are enormously valuable (NVIDIA briefly surpassed $3.3–4.0 trillion market cap ([2]) ([3])), but their valuation multiples, while high, are far below dot-com extremes. Profitability: Most dot-com companies were unprofitable or marginal at the bubble’s peak; e.g.
🌐
NYTimes
nytimes.com › 2025 › 12 › 09 › technology › ai-boom-unlike-dot-com-boom.html
Why the A.I. Boom Is Unlike the Dot-Com Boom - The New York Times
December 9, 2025 - For all the similarities, however, there are many differences that could lead to a distinctly different outcome. The main one is that A.I. is being financed and controlled by multitrillion-dollar companies like Microsoft, Google and Meta that are in no danger of going kaput, unlike the dot-com start-ups that were little more than an idea and a bunch of engineers.
🌐
World Economic Forum
weforum.org › stories › 2025 › 10 › artificial-intelligence-bubble-dot-com-tulip-mania
What we mean when we talk about an AI 'bubble' | World Economic Forum
November 7, 2025 - It's worth noting that the fact that so much shopping did shift from malls to the internet points to what was real in the midst of the dot-com delirium. A lot of fanciful ideas and companies eventually went away, but we’re more online now than ever. The same kind of distillation might play out for AI. No two bubbles are exactly alike.
🌐
Reddit
reddit.com › r/dataisbeautiful › [oc] s&p 500 comparing dotcom and ai bubbles with two scales
r/dataisbeautiful on Reddit: [OC] S&P 500 Comparing Dotcom and AI Bubbles with Two Scales
November 18, 2025 - We aim to foster an environment where everybody feels safe and welcomed and where people feel encouraged to have healthy and productive discuss ... Wall Street’s AI Bubble Is Worse Than the 1999 Dot-com Bubble: This means when it crashes, ...
Find elsewhere
🌐
Fortune
fortune.com › 2025 › 09 › 28 › ai-dot-com-bubble-parallels-history-explained-companies-revenue-infrastructure
Everyone's wondering if, and when, the AI bubble will pop. Here's what went down 25 years ago that ultimately burst the dot-com boom | Fortune
September 28, 2025 - A recent MIT study found that 95% ... in generative AI investment. This disconnect between investment and returns echoes the fundamental problem that ultimately doomed the dot-com bubble....
🌐
Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › AI_bubble
AI bubble - Wikipedia
4 days ago - Current US chair of the Federal Reserve Jerome Powell has stated that AI differs from other technology bubbles like the dot-com bubble in that the corporations behind it are generating large amounts of revenue and that investment into AI data centres is generating large amounts of economic growth.
🌐
BBC
bbc.com › news › articles › cwy7vrd8k4eo
Google boss says trillion-dollar AI investment boom has 'elements of irrationality'
It has raised fears stock markets are heading for a repeat of the dotcom boom and bust of the late 1990s. This saw the values of early internet companies surge amid a wave of optimism for what was then a new technology, before the bubble burst in early 2000 and many share prices collapsed.
Published   November 18, 2025
🌐
iShares
ishares.com › us › insights › ai-stocks-bubble-2025-valuation-outlook
Are AI Stocks in a Bubble? Why This Isn’t a Dot-Com Redux | iShares
November 6, 2025 - Tech stocks have surged amid growing excitement over artificial intelligence, but valuations have remained well below dot-com bubble era levels. Unlike the speculative excesses of the late 1990s, today’s AI spending has been largely funded ...
🌐
Yale Insights
insights.som.yale.edu › insights › this-is-how-the-ai-bubble-bursts
This Is How the AI Bubble Bursts | Yale Insights
November 8, 2025 - Su has defended AMD’s deal with OpenAI, asserting that market bears are “thinking too small.” The chief executive describes AI’s potential as sparking a new decade-long “Supercycle” that will “transform industries, from finance to healthcare and research.” · We have seen this story before, back during the “cable cowboy” days. Programmers paid the distributors. Or wait—distributors paid the programmers. And of course, there are the frequent comparisons to the run-up to the dot-com bubble.
🌐
Business Insider
businessinsider.com › business insider › ai › bill gates says we're in an ai bubble similar to the dot-com bubble
Bill Gates Says We're in an AI Bubble Similar to the Dot-Com Bubble - Business Insider
October 29, 2025 - ... But the billionaire philanthropist does think the current bubble is akin to the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s and early aughts, when several Internet-based companies turned out to be overvalued, resulting in a significant crash.
🌐
NBC News
nbcnews.com › business › markets › stock-market-ai-boom-dot-com-bubble-rcna237679
A soaring stock market led by tech has some likening the AI boom to the dot-com bubble
Today’s AI boom and its stock market highs are drawing comparisons with the 1990s dot-com bubble — and fears for the crash that ended it.
Published   October 16, 2025
🌐
Reuters
reuters.com › markets › europe › is-todays-ai-boom-bigger-than-dotcom-bubble-2025-07-22
Is today's AI boom bigger than the dotcom bubble? | Reuters
July 23, 2025 - Similarly, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are currently trading around 22 and 28.5 times forward earnings, compared with the dotcom peaks of 24.5 and over 70 times, respectively. With all that being said, a meaningful, prolonged market correction cannot be ruled out, especially if AI-driven growth isn't delivered as quickly as investors expect.
🌐
Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business
english.ckgsb.edu.cn › home › articles › the ai boom and dot-com bubble: comparisons and insights across 25 years
AI Hype vs. Dot-Com Bubble: A 25-Year Market Lens – CKGSB Knowledge
May 19, 2025 - However, the adjustment of the AI market will not repeat the dramatic crash at the end of the dot-com bubble, and there is a double buffer mechanism behind it: a high technological threshold and a more rational capital environment (more tech ...
🌐
Medium
wlockett.medium.com › the-ai-bubble-is-far-worse-than-we-thought-f070a70a90d7
The AI Bubble Is Far Worse Than We Thought | by Will Lockett | Medium
October 17, 2025 - Needless to say, he understands his subject material. But his recent analysis discovered that the AI bubble was 17 times the size of the dot-com bubble and four times larger than the 2008 housing bubble!
🌐
Forbes
forbes.com › forbes homepage › money › investing
Why AI Stocks Are Giving Some Investors Dotcom Bubble Déjà Vu
August 25, 2025 - The information technology sector makes up more than 33% of the S&P 500 index, matching the levels of the dotcom bubble of the late 1990s. Semiconductor designer Nvidia alone makes up 8% of the index thanks to its $4.3 trillion market cap, up ...