Everyone is focused on Caracas right now, but I can’t stop thinking about the precedent this sets. If Beijing decides this is their green light to finally move on Taiwan, we aren’t looking at a chip shortage.

People seem to forget the silicon shield failsafes. ASML has remote kill switches for their machines, and Taiwan has practically confirmed they would scorch-earth the TSMC foundries before letting the PLA take them intact.

If that happens, 90% of advanced chips don't just get expensive, they vanish. Overnight.

We’re talking about a total freeze on everything from new iPhones to Nvidia AI chips for at least 2-3 years while the US tries to spin up domestic fabs.

Will the market even price this in? Feels like we are one bad decision away from the tech stone age.

This question is brought on because right now there are discussions in different subreddits over fear that China will invade Taiwan over the US's invasion of Venezuela and how it might set a precedent for a China invasion.

Personally I think a lot of this is projection.

Much like how when Russia invaded Ukraine and people believed China will invade Taiwan as well but except that didnt happen.

Every time there is some bloody invasion happening somewhere in the world, the magnifying glass is projected onto this side of the world with the question of whether "China is going to the same?".

My take? I don't think the Chinese will follow the US example anytime soon.

What's your opinion? Or take?

I think this question is on a lot of people's minds and there's even been a slew of--IMO misguided and unfair--criticism of China in the wake of current events. I think this video helps to provide some perspective.

A Foreign Ministry spokesperson said China strongly condemns the US action.

I’ve heard a lot of people saying that with Trump taking Maduro and “invading” Venezuela it will embolden China to attack Taiwan but I feel that this move (while not smart or legal by any means) will put some fear into China because it shows that the U.S. will behave erratically with a huge show of force. The Venezuela situation is not a full scale war or invasion and it’s unlike Iraq or Afghanistan because they got the guy in a matter of hours. It shows the world that Trump is insane enough to do something (whatever TF the rationale maybe).

I’m not American and I hate Trump but I actually think that him acting like a madman will cause the other madmen to hesitate. If Trump’s willing to do that to Venezuela then what’s stopping him from saying “You know what? Actually Taiwan is ours now!” Then what happens?

I think this whole situation would have China shitting its pants.

Edit: Am I getting spam downvoted by CCP bots or something? My upvotes suddenly crashed lol

Link to economist article: https://archive.ph/aSu7F

“The more interesting question is what Mr Maduro’s capture means for China’s standing with its partners around the world.”

It’s a tough situation, no doubt about that. However, I don’t think sitting by the sidelines is a right decision given that Western powers will intervene politically in support of Guaido, who was essentially voted in by the U.S. But at the same time, is Maduro a lost cause? The Venezuelan government owes China more than $20 billion in addition to the recent loan Maduro acquired during his last visit to Beijing. Guaido, his opponent has even offered to talk about paying back. But changing support to Guaido will probably look bad. What do you guys think?

A possibility: Perhaps China should write off a portion of Venezuela’s debt. Nothing demonstrates loyalty better than to support your friend in his time of need. This may even encourage Maduro to formally adopt Yuan as Venezuela’s national currency since the bolivar has inflated out of control.

Since China is buying Venezuelan oil, in exchange for weapons to support Maduro’s government, do you consider Venezuela to be a colony/puppet government of China?

https://youtu.be/a-gXvOjvMhE

Saludos a todos les deseo un buen día. Recientemente me he visto interesado en las actividades de importación como dice el título. He estado realizando un poco de investigación por cuenta propia y los primeros resultados que me aparecen son publicidades sobre "cursos" o "asesores" ofreciendo servicio. Mi interés es aprender a hacerlo por cuenta propia, hasta ahora estoy indagando los servicios de envío de "china post" que es un servicio de envíos netamente chino. Más sin embargo desconozco si se amerita documentación o permisos para el ingreso del producto al territorio nacional. Cabe destacar que se trata de importación de carácter personal, no cómo comercio, y claro está. Buscando siempre el mejor precio. Procuraré actualizar este post con lo que vaya aprendiendo y agradezco su tiempo y atención a los moderadores y participantes