October 14, 2025 - Competitiveness is determined by several factors, including the state’s political makeup, the candidates' strengths and weaknesses, the political environment in the state and nationally, and interviews with candidates and campaign professionals. When sourcing the CPR Race Ratings, please refer to our terms of use. To inquire about API access and licensing, please submit a request. ... Includes seats not up for re-election. Control of Senate marked at 50 seats.

November 28, 2025 - Thom Tillis’s (R) seat is showing signs of slipping away. Democratic former Gov. Roy Cooper is 6-0 in statewide contests and gives Democrats perhaps their best chance on the 2026 map.

October 23, 2025 - To read recent stories on the race for the Senate, click here. 2026 Senate ratings Updated Oct. 23, 2025 2026 Senate elections Post-2024 control of Senate seats

Their also hoping Alaska, Iowa, and Texas could be competitive if 2026 is a big blue wave election. Republicans, on the other hand, will be primarily focused on defense. However, they have two genuine opportunities to flip a seat.

5 days ago - 5, 2026 · Democrats hoping to regain control of the Senate in this year’s midterm elections face a tough task: They must flip four seats controlled by Republicans, on a map that offers few obvious opportunities.

2 weeks ago - Republicans are facing favorable odds in the Senate, where they currently hold a 53–47 advantage.

December 5, 2025 - Who will control the Senate? Review and predict the outcome of the 35 Senate races in the 2026 midterm elections.

11 hours ago - The 2026 Senate map is considered favorable to Republicans. In this cycle, Democrats are defending 13 seats, while Republicans are defending 22 seats. The makeup of the seats up for reelection means that Republicans are heavily favored to retain ...

2 weeks ago - Republicans, though, remain confident that they will hold onto the Senate —and potentially even grow their majority, given the GOP’s recent success in states with the most competitive Senate races next year.

May 8, 2025 - Probably not, but their chances are better than they were two months ago. Join me for a deep dive on the likely most competitive races.

February 13, 2025 - Perhaps the public ends up siding ... flipping the Senate—more possible. For the time being, the Republicans getting to 53 seats in 2024 gives them a major buffer for 2026, and their odds of holding the majority following this election are ...

November 22, 2025 - The 2026 Senate midterm elections should be Republicans’ to lose with a map that strongly favors the GOP. With a three seat Senate majority and Vice President JD Vance as the tie breaker, Democrats need to pick up four seats to capture the majority.

Read the analysis > The U.S. Senate has 53 Republicans and 47 Democrats (including two independents). There are 35 seats up in 2026 - including special elections in Florida and Ohio - of which 23 are held Republicans.

The other special election is to fill the last two years of the six-year term that J.D. Vance (R-Ohio) was elected to in 2022. Those elected to the U.S. Senate in the regularly scheduled elections on November 3, 2026, will begin their six-year terms on January 3, 2027.

1 week ago - Democrats are hoping to win back control of the Senate in 2026 despite a challenging map.

April 9, 2025 - We suspect these are closer to being in the Likely column than the Toss-up column, but they’re the kinds of seats that Republicans may be able to win at some point in the near future, maybe even 2026 under the right set of circumstances. Our bottom line assessment of the battle for Congress is that Democrats should win the House, and Republicans should win the Senate (as we explained in our initial ratings back in February).

January 8, 2025 - Democrats looking to flip the Senate in 2026 will need to make gains in states that have swung decidedly Republican in recent years.

November 18, 2024 - That could give President-elect Donald Trump a Republican Senate for his entire four-year term, giving him broad leeway in administration and judicial nominations, and an easier time with legislation.