America is about eleven months away from the 2026 midterms and the race for control of the house and Senate is coming in full swing. While the redistricting in the house makes deciding who will ultimately win the house somewhat unpredictable, Republicans are the favored to win the Senate. so that begs the question of how the Senate will stand after the midterms, whether or not there is a possibility for Democrats to win, and by how much?

To get an estimate for where the election may go, I watched prediction videos by YouTube channels election time, and let's talk elections where they give their input on who will win.

Election time's video:

https://youtu.be/rX9UNrranMk?si=Mmt8avhYLxpzv33b

Let's talk elections video:

https://youtu.be/B9g_-v1p9tY?si=gpCLAHEOuoY5bmNB

here are seats in the midterms that both creators believe are safe for both sides as follows

Democrats:

• Oregon

• Massachusetts

• New jersey

Republican:

• Idaho

• Montana

• Wyoming

• South Dakota

• Kansas

• Oklahoma

• Louisiana

• Mississippi

• Arkansas

• Alabama

• Tennessee

• Kentucky

• West Virginia

As for their predictions on the more competitive states

• Both agree that New Mexico, north Carolina and Georgia will be lean or likely towards Democrats

• Both agree that Iowa, Florida, and Ohio will lean towards Republicans

• Election time predicts that while he anticipates Pete rickets to win, marked the seat as lean independent while let's talk elections believes it will lean towards Republicans

• Both creators predict Texas will lean republican. John Cornyn is the favored Republican candidate, however Cornyn has competition for his seat in the form of ken Paxton. Let's talk elections says James talerico is their favored Democratic candidate over jasmine Crockett and election time believes Crockett leans too far left for Texas to elect her, however crockett holds a lead over talerico. Regardless of who the candidates are, it doesn't change the fact that Texas will be an uphill battle for Democrats that may not realistically be worth winning

• While election time predicts that Michigan will flip for Republicans, let's talk elections believes Democrats will hold on to that seat

• Let's talk elections predicts that Maine will flip for Democrats, election time kept the seat red on the basis that the Republican is the incumbent but it could go either way

• Election time believes Colorado, Minnesota, Illinois, new Hampshire, and Virginia will lean or likely Democrat while lets talk elections believes these states are safe for Democrats

• Election time believes South Carolina is lean or likely towards Republicans while let's talk elections believes it is safe

Overall

• election time predicts that that Republicans will have at least 52 seats, Democrats will have 47 seats, with a possibility of 1 independent seat.

• Let's talk elections predicts Republicans will have 51 seats and Democrats will have 49

Let's keep in mind that we are still quite a ways away from the midterms and anything can happen, but it will regardless be a very uphill battle for Democrats.

I think there are 3 scenarios possible:

1. House flips, Senate doesn’t

2. Both flip

3. Senate flips, House doesn’t

Also, in case scenario 2 happens, could Trump be impeached and convicted along with JD Vance, ending this second term before 2028-2029? And which seats in both chambers of Congress are most likely to flip?

Title speaks for itself.