Fidelity Probability Calculator Unreliable
Probability OTM for options?
Probability calculator - percentage
Fidelity probability calculator
So $300+…..got it. 😈
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All,
Is there a better options probability calculator out there, or in-depth training on the Fidelity tool? The Fidelity tool has been inaccurate based on my input several times, causing a loss of $. I sold a covered call option on INTC with a 6% probability of being in the money on the expiration date, according to the online calculator with Fidelity. INTC went in the money within 10 days of selling the CC and stayed in the money. I lost money and my shares of INTC. I used the 3 Standards Deviation, and there were no earnings calls or dividends coming up. I am aware of the risks involved. I am just looking for a better probability calculator. Thank you.
Some brokerages offer a "probability OTM" field when you're reviewing an options chain. Any idea if I can configure the Fidelity website or Active Trader Pro to do the same thing?
Can someone explain the probability calculator’s percentage input field? It seems to be tied to HV. Neither the video nor the PDF describe this or its use directly.