U.S. News
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Will the Stock Market Crash in 2025? 4 Risk Factors | Investing | U.S. News
October 27, 2025 - Even with consumer confidence at a five-month low in October, as measured by the University of Michigan consumer sentiment survey, no one is guaranteeing a crash before the end of 2025 or even in 2026.
Elm Wealth
elmwealth.com › home › research › how likely is a stock market crash?
How Likely is a Stock Market Crash? - Elm Wealth
2 weeks ago - We estimate the real probability of a 30% U.S. stock market drop over the next year using history, surveys, prediction markets, and options pricing. The result may surprise you.
Videos
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The Stock Market is CRAZY Right Now! (CRASH WARNING) - YouTube
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Morningstar
morningstar.com › portfolios › how-likely-are-market-crashes
How Likely Are Market Crashes? | Morningstar
October 5, 2023 - In 2021 the likelihood of a crash was less than 20% but by August 2022 had risen to above 80%. Their framework was effective for both recessionary and nonrecessionary drawdowns. Valuation was the only factor that showed a high degree of statistical ...
The Motley Fool
fool.com › investing › 2025 › 12 › 31 › the-most-likely-cause-of-a-stock-market-crash-in-2
The Most Likely Cause of a Stock Market Crash in 2026. (Hint: It's Not Related to Artificial Intelligence.) | The Motley Fool
16 hours ago - After three fantastic years of market gains, many investors are wondering if the rally will come to an end in 2026. Predicting the next stock market crash is nearly impossible, so I wouldn't recommend that retail investors attempt to time the market.
U.S. Bank
usbank.com › investing › financial-perspectives › market-news › is-a-market-correction-coming.html
Is a Market Correction Coming? | U.S. Bank
July 9, 2025 - 1 Since early April, when the S&P 500 narrowly avoided a bear market (a 20% decline or worse), investors have dismissed concerns about higher tariffs and the concluded government shutdown.
The Motley Fool
fool.com › investing › 2025 › 12 › 29 › will-the-stock-market-crash-in-2026-what-history-s
Will the Stock Market Crash in 2026? What History Says. | The Motley Fool
3 days ago - This argument, however, is unlikely to be decided in 2026. I think cycles will more likely play a bigger role in stock prices next year than valuations. Therefore, I'd expect a moderate first-half pullback, but not a crash, followed by a nice post-election rally and a positive year overall. Of course, no one can predict with certainty how the market will perform, which is why I always recommend investors use a dollar-cost averaging strategy with a core exchange-traded fund (ETF), like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO 0.73%).
Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › Stock_market_crash
Stock market crash - Wikipedia
September 15, 2025 - Stock prices for corporations competing ... of a stock market crash but the term commonly applies to declines of over 10% in a stock market index over a period of several days....
Nasdaq
nasdaq.com › articles › will-stock-market-crash-2026-what-history-says
Will the Stock Market Crash in 2026? What History Says. | Nasdaq
This argument, however, is unlikely to be decided in 2026. I think cycles will more likely play a bigger role in stock prices next year than valuations. Therefore, I'd expect a moderate first-half pullback, but not a crash, followed by a nice post-election rally and a positive year overall. Of course, no one can predict with certainty how the market will perform, which is why I always recommend investors use a dollar-cost averaging strategy with a core exchange-traded fund (ETF), like the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO).
Reddit
reddit.com › r/investing › realistically speaking what would it take for a stock market crash to occur?
r/investing on Reddit: Realistically speaking what would it take for a stock market crash to occur?
October 22, 2025 -
Is it when retail are forced to sell their positions, even at a loss because they lack the funds to cover bills, etc?
So like recession times? Is it when unemployment rates are high? is it when disposable income is at its lowest? is it when people can't affford new triple A games? etc.
iNews
inews.co.uk › home › how likely a stock market crash is in 2026 – and how experts say you can prepare
How likely a stock market crash is in 2026 - and how experts say you can prepare
2 days ago - But how likely is a stock market drop in 2026, and what can you do to prepare? ... Experts say the key thing about a stock market crash, is that the timing cannot be predicted.
Nasdaq
nasdaq.com › articles › stock-market-crash-coming-heres-what-history-suggests
Is a Stock Market Crash Coming? Here's What History Suggests. | Nasdaq
"I can't predict the short-term movements of the stock market," he explained in a 2008 opinion piece for The New York Times. "I haven't the faintest idea as to whether stocks will be higher or lower a month or a year from now. What is likely, however, is that the market will move higher, perhaps substantially so, well before either sentiment or the economy turns up.
Reddit
reddit.com › r/fire › how absolutely legendary does a stock market crash have to be to nuke all our 4% monte carlo simulations?
r/Fire on Reddit: How absolutely legendary does a stock market crash have to be to nuke all our 4% Monte Carlo simulations?
October 30, 2025 -
I always hear on this thread it’s IMPOSSIBLE to go broke on 4% rule. But this is not true and and estimate based on historical data.
Okay… so I am asking how bad would it need to be?
Would one year at like 65% crash do it? Or more like a time thing like 0-10% down YoY for 10 years
Like how do we get screwed here?
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I looked into this research a bit and the result was at first very counterintuitive. The worst cases were not when the market was down like Great Depression, but when the market was just meh with high inflation like mid-60. Mediocre market plus double digit inflation will kill it.
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It would have to crash hard enough that retiring is no longer the biggest issue in anyone's life
The Guardian
theguardian.com › business › 2025 › oct › 09 › head-of-jpmorgan-chase-warns-of-risk-of-american-stock-market-crash
Head of largest US bank warns of risk of American stock market crash | JP Morgan | The Guardian
October 10, 2025 - Jamie Dimon said he would put the chance of a serious fall in the US market at ‘more like 30%’, when 10% is currently priced in. Photograph: Mike Segar/Reuters ... Jamie Dimon, chair of JPMorgan Chase, said he was ‘far more worried than ...
Bankrate
bankrate.com › investing
Will The Stock Market Crash In 2025? Watch These 3 Key Indicators Carefully | Bankrate
August 28, 2025 - Following a strong run-up in 2025 — and robust runs of greater than 20 percent gains in 2023 and 2024 — is the S&P 500 poised for a crash in 2025?
Nasdaq
nasdaq.com › articles › 1-move-avoid-all-costs-if-stock-market-crashes-2025
1 Move to Avoid at All Costs if the Stock Market Crashes in 2025 | Nasdaq
The Federal Reserve Bank of New York also estimates that there's around a 29% probability of a recession occurring by December 2025. While it's unclear when or if a recession or market crash is around the corner, there's one critical move to ...
Yahoo!
uk.finance.yahoo.com › news › worried-stock-market-crash-064200149.html
Should we be worried about a stock market crash?
October 12, 2025 - One other thing worth mentioning in relation to stock market crashes is that we’ve already had one in 2025 (in April).
The Motley Fool
fool.com › investing › 2025 › 02 › 02 › will-the-stock-market-crash-in-2025-under-presiden
Will The Stock Market Crash in 2025 Under President Trump? Here's What The Numbers Say. | The Motley Fool
February 2, 2025 - In a vacuum, there is approximately a 10% chance that the stock market will go into a 20% crash each year. This doesn't take into account starting prices for stocks, which we should consider when looking at stocks in 2025.
YouTube
youtube.com › watch
The Stock Market Crash Coming October 29th - Be Ready - YouTube
Stocks crashed Friday but it may be just the beginning of what is coming at the end of the month. In this week’s stock market news, I’ll reveal the ONE trigg...
Published October 13, 2025
Nasdaq
nasdaq.com › articles › historical-market-pattern-just-ended-and-it-could-be-precursor-market-crash
This Historical Market Pattern Just Ended, and It Could Be a Precursor to a Market Crash | Nasdaq
The end of such a streak can be ... 24, the S&P 500's 200-day moving average was 6,166.05, so the market is still a good 8% above this mark....