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Primedope
primedope.com › poker-variance-calculator
Poker Variance Calculator - Primedope
Poker Variance Calculator for cash games. Displays variance, possible downswings, upswings and probabilities depending on your win rate.
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Primedope
primedope.com › tournament-variance-calculator
Tournament Variance Calculator - Primedope
Poker Tournament Variance Simulator – calculates variance for poker tournaments, MTTs and SNGs.
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GipsyTeam
gipsyteam.com › poker › software › pokerdope
PokerDope’s Basic and Free Online Poker Tools | GipsyTeam.Com
February 12, 2024 - Open the official website of the poker room · In the "Referral Code" field, enter this code: Registration · This calculator shows your expected up and downswings of a certain period of hands. After inputting some information into the variance calculator, you can project your win rate over 100,000 to 10 million hands.
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Primedope
primedope.com
Primedope - Online Poker Tools and Great Stuff
Easy to use cashgame variance calculator. Enter your win rate, and the number of hands to simulate to see the impact of variance in poker.
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Limp Lab
limplab.com › calculators › variance
Variance Calculator
January 14, 2025 - Understand variance in poker with this guide and calculator.
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GipsyTeam
gipsyteam.com › poker › poker-variance-calculator
Poker Variance Calculator Guide for Beginner Users | GipsyTeam.Com
September 28, 2024 - If you want to know how to find the variance calculator, there’s a free version you can use on PrimeDope.com. The most high-variance format in modern online poker is Spin and Go tournaments, due to small stacks, fast blind levels, and a randomly determined prize pool.
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Getcoach
getcoach.poker › calculators › winrate-variance
Poker Variance Calculator | Getcoach.poker
With this poker variance calculator, you can estimate the deviations of your possible win rate depending on your distance, game type, and limit.
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Twoplustwo
forumserver.twoplustwo.com › two plus two forums › other topics › probability › pokerdope poker variance calculator
Pokerdope Poker Variance Calculator - Gambling and Probability - Probability Theory Forum
Hi Everyone: I was looking at the Pokerdope Poker Variance Calculator. which can be found at: http://pokerdope.com/poker-variance-calculator/ In the example he has a winrate in BB / 100 of 2.5BB and a standard deviation per 100 of 100BB. And this gives him a minimum bankroll for less than 5% ...
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Conscious Poker
consciouspoker.com › home › bankroll management › how to use a poker variance calculator
How to Use a Poker Variance Calculator | Conscious Poker
December 30, 2019 - Learn how to use a poker variance calculator for both cash games and tournaments to determine your hourly rate, swings, bankroll and more.
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Reddit
reddit.com › r/poker › need help understanding variance calculator
r/poker on Reddit: Need help understanding variance calculator
March 3, 2024 -

This is an incredibly small sample size I know. Just started playing 1/3 this year after mainly playing online tournaments for fun. I’ve been studying diligently and trying to apply what I’ve learned at the table.

I just do not understand what the graph and results are telling me. Any help would be greatly appreciated.

Currently at 58BB/100 @1600 hands which again I know from reading this sub is a minute sample size. Just looking for some insight into the graph/results.

Top answer
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you dont plug in your winrate after 1600 hands into a variance calculator- you learn nothing from this What u should be doing is play around with different winrates and see what the expected downswings can look like so you can prepare urself
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It calculates confidence intervals for your true win rate analytically as well as calculating potential graphs via simulation. In this case it ran 1000 simulations, and the worst graph in that set of 1000 simulations was the dark brown one and the best one was the blue one. However the light and dark green quantiles are smooth rather than stochastic because they are calculated analytically using the observed win rate (58bb/100) and standard deviation (119bb/100) that you input to the calculator. 58bb/100 is an unbiased estimate of your true win rate but it’s a very noisy estimate. The 95% confidence interval means that under repeated trials of 1000 simulations it will cover that true win rate 95% of the time. It also provides a similar probability calculation of 97.44% of having an observed win rate better than 0bb/100 if your actual win rate was 58b/100 if you ran a new simulation. It’s calculating the confidence interval for every single time point. You want to compare the confidence intervals for your observed win rate (58bb/100) under different standard deviations. In theory full ring games should have lower standard deviation than heads up or 6max but that’s probably not the case in cash games that are so soft you can win 58bb/100. If you want a very conservative estimate of the uncertainty of your win rate you should try standard deviations of 150 or even 200 if that’s a good description of the games you play in.
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Weaktight
weaktight.com › blog › how-to-use-a-poker-variance-calculator-guide-reviews
weaktight | Weaktight Blog | How to Use a Poker Variance Calculator: Guide & Reviews
In this article, we'll take a closer look at the variance calculator available at http://pokerdope.com/ Variance calculator is a tool that can simulate many possible outcomes of playing a certain number of cash game hands and/or tournaments based on user input.
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YouTube
youtube.com › conscious poker by alec torelli
How to Use a Poker Variance Calculator - YouTube
Learn how to determine your variance in poker, minimum bankroll needed, return on investment, hourly rate and more using a poker variance calculator. Full Bl...
Published   December 30, 2019
Views   3K
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PartyPoker
partypoker.com › en › poker › how-to-play › strategy › betting › poker-variance
Calculating Variance in Poker
<p>This application requires Javascript for the best functionality and user experience. Your browser or device may not support Javascript or it may be disabled.</p> <br />
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WSOP Hub
vip-grinders.com › poker-calculators › poker-variance-simulator
Poker Variance Calculator & Simulator 2025
November 5, 2025 - Your VIP-Grinders Poker Variance Simulator takes four inputs — Win Rate (BB/100), Standard Deviation (BB/100), Hands to Simulate, and an optional Observed Win Rate — and runs Monte Carlo trials to show the distribution of possible outcomes.
Address   86 Main Street, STJ 1015
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Slots Paradise
slotsparadise.com › home › news › poker › poker-variance-calculator-maximize-your-winnings
Poker Variance Calculator: Master Volatility in Your Game - Slots Paradise
December 18, 2024 - The Poker Variance Calculator measures and analyzes your game's volatility, unveiling hidden patterns and trends.
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GTO Wizard
blog.gtowizard.com › home › variance and bankroll management
Variance and Bankroll Management | GTO Wizard
February 29, 2024 - How much you should risk depends on your win rate and variance. Just remember that Kelly is the boundary, not the goal! You should invest less than Kelly in practice. We can use math to translate a poker win rate in Cash Games or other formats to optimal BRM strategies. We’ve built a handy BRM Optimization tool to help you move up faster! 💪 · This calculator ...
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Run It Once
runitonce.com › nlhe › poker-variance-calculator-and-multi-tabling
poker variance calculator and multi tabling | Run It Once
https://www.primedope.com/poker-variance-calculator/ how do you account for multi tabling after using this calculator? is the min bankroll requirement for 1 table and i multiply it by the n
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Wizard of Odds
wizardofodds.com › home › calculators › video poker analyzer
Video Poker Analyzer Calculator - Optimize Your Play - Wizard of Odds
October 3, 2024 - The video poker Analyzer is actually a calculator that can analyze any type of pay table for numerous different sorts of video poker games and variations…
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Pokerbankrolltracker
pokerbankrolltracker.net › startseite › manual – poker bankroll tracker app
Manual • Poker Bankroll Tracker App for iOS and Android
September 9, 2025 - You can also share a Tag with friends. This is useful if you have made a staking agreement. The variance calculator tells you the expected variance based on your last cash game sessions. The white line shows your expected value (EV) in Big Blinds per 100 hands.