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The Economist
economist.com › finance & economics › november 15th 2025 edition
Recessions have become ultra-rare. That is storing up trouble
November 10, 2025 - As capitalism matured and policymaking improved, recessions became less frequent. In the 19th century the country was in recession only a quarter of the time, a share that fell lower still in Britain and other rich countries in the 20th century.
Discussions

Bessent: No recession in 2026 but some sectors are challenged
How to say "I'm fucking lying" without saying in fucking lying. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/economy
11
25
October 10, 2025
Remembering stock market crash of 2022
I can't even remember there was a crash in 2022. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/investing
712
2463
March 12, 2025
We’ve been in a recession for over a year. What’s really coming after this?
The market makes perfect sense right now. Wealthy people have more and more wealth. If they leave it in cash the value decreases due to inflation, so they buy financial assets (and other assets) which rise with inflation. Stock prices go up because wealthy people need to park their cash somewhere and they keep piling in. This is why the market can be up even when the bottom 90% of the population is struggling to get by. The top 10% own 93% of stocks; the stock market is a reflection on how THEY are doing, not how the bottom 90% are doing. The rate cuts will increase liquidity giving the wealthy even more money to park in financial assets. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/economy
123
157
September 18, 2025
Is it me or has the coming been in a recession since 2022?
It’s just you More on reddit.com
🌐 r/economy
25
0
April 22, 2025
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ABC News
abcnews.go.com › Business › gdp-data-show-economic-health-amid-recession-fears › story
US economy grew at end of 2022, defying recession fears - ABC News
January 27, 2023 - ... Economic activity shrank a combined 2.2% over the first six months of last year, marking two consecutive quarters of negative GDP, which many consider shorthand for identifying a downturn as a recession.
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Financial Times
ft.com › economy › employment › us
Missing: the 2022 recession
February 3, 2023 - The US’s GDP did decline for two consecutive quarters last year, the traditional definition of a recession. But even if the jobs market was weaker than initially reported in 2022, the latest data shows that weakness was shortlived.
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Fannie Mae
fanniemae.com › home › newsroom › fannie mae news
Economy Expected to End 2022 on Positive Note Ahead of Modest Recession in New Year | Fannie Mae
December 19, 2022 - Following an upward revision to ... personal consumption data to begin the fourth quarter, the economy is now expected to eke out positive growth of 0.4 percent in 2022 before entering a modest recession in the new year, according to the December 2022 commentary from the Fannie ...
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Dallas Fed
dallasfed.org › research › economics › 2022 › 0802
U.S. likely didn’t slip into recession in early 2022 despite negative GDP growth - Dallasfed.org
Most indicators—particularly those measuring labor markets—provide strong evidence that the U.S. economy did not fall into a recession in the first quarter.
Find elsewhere
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World Bank
worldbank.org › en › news › press-release › 2022 › 09 › 15 › risk-of-global-recession-in-2023-rises-amid-simultaneous-rate-hikes
Risk of Global Recession in 2023 Rises Amid Simultaneous Rate Hikes, World Bank
September 16, 2022 - WASHINGTON, September 15, 2022—As central banks across the world simultaneously hike interest rates in response to inflation, the world may be edging toward a global recession in 2023 and a string of financial crises in emerging market and ...
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Jhu
bipr.jhu.edu › BlogArticles › 22-US-Economy-is-Headed-for-Recession.cfm
US Economy is Headed for Recession
When investors put more faith in short-term loans, they convey a lack of confidence in long-term yields. Additionally, the Federal Reserve Bank has hiked rates to 5.25% since early 2022...
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Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com › news › no-recession-risk-us-economy-155812450.html
No recession risk for US economy as a whole after $11 billion shutdown hit, Bessent says
November 23, 2025 - Bessent told NBC's "Meet the Press" program that parts of the U.S. economy that are sensitive to interest rates, including ‌housing, had been in recession, but he did not see the entire economy at risk of negative growth.
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NPR
npr.org › 2023 › 01 › 26 › 1151320042 › us-economy-recession-inflation-housing-spending-slowdown
The economy was resilient in 2022 – but recession fears are growing : NPR
January 26, 2023 - "The housing sector is in a recession," says Doug Duncan, chief economist for the mortgage giant Fannie Mae. "It will be a difficult year." ... A man carries a ladder through new home construction in Trappe, Md., on Oct.
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The Telegraph
telegraph.co.uk › business › 2025 › 11 › 21 › all-signs-america-may-be-teetering-brink-of-recession
All the signs that America may be teetering on the brink of recession
November 21, 2025 - Thank you for your interest. Unauthorised access is prohibited. To access this content, you must have prior permission and a valid contract. Please contact our team at [email protected] to discuss licensing options · If you are a Telegraph Subscriber, please contact customerservic...
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Conference Board
conference-board.org › research › us-forecast
Economic Forecast for the US Economy
1 month ago - The Conference Board recently released its updated 2022 Global Economic Outlook.
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Yahoo!
malaysia.news.yahoo.com › treasury-secretary-denies-possibility-incoming-225802913.html
Treasury Secretary Denies Possibility Of Incoming Recession: 'I Am Very Confident About 2026' - Yahoo News
November 23, 2025 - So interest rate sensitive sectors have been in a recession. And, you know, the other thing that was not helpful, Kristen, was the longest government shutdown in history,” Bessent said. President Donald Trump’s presidential campaign last year focused largely on reducing the cost of living and improving the economy. But, a Fox News national survey published last week found that 76% of voters view the economy negatively.
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CalMatters
calmatters.org › commentary › 2022 › 10 › is-californias-economy-headed-for-recession
Is California's economy headed for recession? - CalMatters
October 2, 2022 - In the three months since the $308 billion budget was enacted, the signs of slowdown — or perhaps the beginning of recession — have increased. Inflation has continued to rage, the Federal Reserve has continued to raise interest rates, the once-hot housing market has cooled, the stock market has taken a beating and California tax revenues have fallen several billion dollars short of the budget’s rosy assumptions. Meanwhile the federal Bureau of Economic Analysis reported last week that during the second quarter of 2022, California’s economic output shrank by a half-percent while that of arch-rival Texas grew by 1.8%.
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Reddit
reddit.com › r/economy › bessent: no recession in 2026 but some sectors are challenged
r/economy on Reddit: Bessent: No recession in 2026 but some sectors are challenged
October 10, 2025 - Forum for economy, business, politics, stocks, bonds, product releases, IPOs, advice, news, investment, videos, predictions, government, money, politics, debate, capitalism, current trends, and more. ... Claiming there won't be one is evidence there will be one. Is this just another public pacifier? ... How to say "I'm fucking lying" without saying in fucking lying. ... He's just minimizing the issue. A common trait among narcissists. More replies ... The seven parts of the economy already in recession.
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International Monetary Fund
imf.org › en › publications › weo › issues › 2022 › 10 › 11 › world-economic-outlook-october-2022
World Economic Outlook, October 2022: Countering the Cost-of-Living Crisis
October 10, 2022 - The cost-of-living crisis, tightening financial conditions in most regions, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the lingering COVID-19 pandemic all weigh heavily on the outlook. Global growth is forecast to slow from 6.0 percent in 2021 to 3.2 percent in 2022 and 2.7 percent in 2023.
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Advisor Perspectives
advisorperspectives.com › dshort › updates › 2025 › 11 › 25 › the-big-four-recession-indicators
The Big Four Recession Indicators - dshort - Advisor Perspectives
November 20, 2025 - Real retail sales are currently ... April 2022 (data through September 2025) Real personal income is currently 0.08% off its all-time high from April 2025 (data through August 2025) It's difficult to discuss the behavior of the big four leading ...
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Newsweek
newsweek.com › u.s.
"Recession" mentions in company earnings calls highest since late 2022
May 23, 2025 - According to a study by financial data firm FactSet, of the 451 earnings calls conducted by S&P 500 firms between March 15 and May 15, 121 of these mentioned "recession," equivalent to 27 percent.