2 weeks ago - We estimate the real probability of a 30% U.S. stock market drop over the next year using history, surveys, prediction markets, and options pricing. The result may surprise you.

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The firm, led by legendary market bear Jeremy Grantham, gave some ideas on where to invest instead. ... From homebuilding to trucking, major parts of the US economy are in deep trouble. The weakness could drag the whole country into a recession. ... Last month it was circularity. This month, it's depreciation. ... Thursday saw a bizarre reversal of what had been a stellar stock rally.

2 weeks ago - The trigger does not cause the Stock Market Crash; it simply determines when a fragile system breaks. In 1929 it was a seemingly minor British fraud case. In 2008 it was the collapse of a major investment bank. In both cases the underlying system had already been primed by the first four stages. Potential triggers today are many and varied: geopolitical escalation, a major counterparty failure in the derivatives market, renewed banking runs, a sharp correction in one of the mega-cap stocks that dominate indices, or a political misstep that undermines confidence in policy.

2 days ago - These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires › ... Predicting the next stock market crash is nearly impossible, so I wouldn't recommend that retail investors attempt to time the market.

July 9, 2025 - While markets at new all-time highs sometimes present risks, Haworth also notes, “New all-time highs are often followed by new all-time highs.” · Now is an important time to check in with a wealth planning professional to ensure you are comfortable with your current investments and that your portfolio aligns with your time horizon, risk appetite and long-term financial goals. The S&P 500 Index consists of 500 widely traded stocks that are considered to represent the performance of the U.S.

November 13, 2025 - IF AMERICA’S stockmarket crashes, it will be one of the most predicted financial implosions in history. Everyone from bank bosses to the IMF has warned about the stratospheric valuations of America’s tech companies.

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6 days ago - They may not admit it, but their portfolios rhyme. Leadership sits with a handful of names that dominate everything. The result is the most mispriced risk in the market today. When everyone invests in the same winning stocks, the market remains stable until a sudden downturn occurs.

1 week ago - However, the Federal Reserve has recently sent investors a "silent warning" about the economy, and elevated valuations across the stock market have sparked concerns about an artificial intelligence (AI) bubble.

1 week ago - Both the S&P 500's Shiller P/E and the Buffett indicator point to the very real possibility of a stock market crash in 2026, albeit nothing is guaranteed.

November 6, 2025 - Current equity allocations above ... equity allocation to future 10-year returns predicts a -1.39% annualized return for the S&P 500 over the next decade....

November 11, 2025 - Traders called the spike in yields a "Liz Truss moment," referencing a 2022 UK government crisis when unfunded tax cuts triggered a bond market sell off. The upturn was considered an example of bond vigilantism. Explanations for the bond sell-off include rising inflation expectations due to tariffs, margin calls amid the stock crash, and dumping of US government bonds due to declining trust in US—especially by foreign investors and governments, who hold about 33% of US Treasuries.

November 2, 2025 - David Solomon, Mr Dimon’s opposite number at Goldman Sachs, talks of “investor exuberance”; Jane Fraser, Citigroup’s boss, of “valuation frothiness”. The Bank of England recently cautioned that “the risk of a sharp market correction has increased.” The IMF worries about a “disorderly” one, since “risk asset prices are well above fundamentals”.

2 weeks ago - Dec 27, 2025 •By Trevor JennewineStock Market Investors Got a Warning From Fed Chair Jerome Powell in 2025. History Says This Will Happen in 2026. Dec 26, 2025 •By Emma NewberyStock Market Today, Dec.

Market swings can be tough to stomach, and volatile stocks often experience exaggerated moves in both directions.

March 6, 2018 - At such moments, it's natural to wonder: Is the stock market crashing? Ultimately, it's not a question worth worrying about too much. If you own a diversified portfolio, focus on the long term, and consider taking advantage of market downturns when you can, you're already doing almost everything in your ability to be ready for the next crash. ... There's really no reliable way to predict that.

November 21, 2025 - Whitney predicts, “The next downturn is already underway.” · According to Schulmeister, this means that stock market traders are believing less and less in the inevitable succession of bull and bear markets. Born in 1947, Stephan Schulmeister worked for the Austrian Institute of Economic Research (Wifo) for more than 40 years. In an interview, he warns that “the consequences of a stock market crash would be much more devastating today than in 2008.”