That’s stagflation. The last time we had that, the Fed prioritized inflation over employment. It really depends how bad inflation vs recession is. If it’s a mild recession, probably stay as is. If it’s like the financial crisis, maybe they lower rates. Hard to predict without details Answer from cheesyowl11 on reddit.com
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Investopedia
investopedia.com › articles › pf › 09 › avoid-five-recession-risks.asp
5 Things You Shouldn’t Do During a Recession
March 15, 2025 - When purchasing a home, you have the choice of an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) or a fixed-rate mortgage. Interest rates usually fall early in a recession and then rise later as the economy recovers.
Discussions

What would the Federal Reserve do with interest rates if there's a market crash and recession, but inflation continues to go up?
That’s stagflation. The last time we had that, the Fed prioritized inflation over employment. It really depends how bad inflation vs recession is. If it’s a mild recession, probably stay as is. If it’s like the financial crisis, maybe they lower rates. Hard to predict without details More on reddit.com
🌐 r/AskEconomics
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May 30, 2024
Is a recession really a bad thing if interest rates go down as a response?
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🌐 r/AskConservatives
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3
October 20, 2024
How soon do you think mortgage rates will continue to drop?
They could go up or down tomorrow or the next day. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/Mortgages
81
0
March 9, 2025
Will refi interest rates drop if we do go into a recession?
Nobody knows for sure, but historically that has been the case More on reddit.com
🌐 r/Mortgages
99
39
March 11, 2025
People also ask

What happens to mortgage rates in a recession?
During a recession, interest rates usually fall. This is because the Bank of England may lower its base rate - the rate of interest it charges other banks of building societies to borrow money. By lowering the base rate, the Bank is trying to stimulate the economy by making it easier to borrow money and access credit, which in turn should stimulate spending. As the cost of borrowing is reduced, banks and building societies may also lower their own interest rates, too. This means mortgage rates should go down in a recession, making getting a mortgage or remortgaging more affordable.
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tembomoney.com
tembomoney.com › learn › what happens to mortgage rates in a recession?
What Happens To Mortgage Rates In A Recession? | Tembo blog
What happens during a recession?
When a recession hits, the economy struggles and there is less money circulating. The economic output of a nation slows down as consumers spend less, which means businesses can struggle. The government may also issue tax cuts to help stimulate spending, which means they get less money from tax. This can reduce the government spending pot, impacting things like funding for benefits and public spending.
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tembomoney.com
tembomoney.com › learn › what happens to mortgage rates in a recession?
What Happens To Mortgage Rates In A Recession? | Tembo blog
Is a recession good for mortgage rates?
If you are looking to buy your first home, or remortgage onto a new mortgage deal, a recession can be a good thing if it results in lower mortgage rates. Locking in a low interest rate during a recession can be a smart move. Not only will your monthly costs be more affordable during a time of stretched budgets, if you lock in for longer you could benefit from a lower rate even when interest rates begin to rise again once the economy starts recovering. Note that a recession can negatively affect people in many ways, and improved interest rates on mortgages won’t be helpful for everyone.
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tembomoney.com
tembomoney.com › learn › what happens to mortgage rates in a recession?
What Happens To Mortgage Rates In A Recession? | Tembo blog
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Experian
experian.com › home › personal finance › what happens to interest rates during a recession?
What Happens to Interest Rates During a Recession?
July 21, 2025 - In addition to looking at GDP data, the NBER considers other factors, such as income, consumer expenditures and unemployment rates. Interest rates tend to go down during a recession, primarily due to government action to stimulate the economy.
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TD
td.com › ca › en › personal-banking › advice › growing-money › recession-canada
What should I do with my money if there’s a recession? | TD Canada Trust
Avoid credit card debt, since such debts will be much more expensive in a recession when budgets are tight · Pay off your mortgage, as you may find it more difficult to make your payments if your income decreases · Build your savings in order to have an emergency fund to cover periods of income disruption · Stay confident and don’t let your emotions get the best of you when it comes to your investments ... This content discusses current topics of interest in a general and informational manner only and may not be appropriate in all circumstances.
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Bankrate
bankrate.com › mortgages
What Happens To Mortgage Rates In A Recession? | Bankrate
May 19, 2025 - Since recessions come with reduced economic activity and higher unemployment rates, it follows there’d be less demand for mortgage financing. With less demand, interest rates fall.
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Manulife John Hancock Investments
jhinvestments.com › viewpoints › investing-basics › what-happens-in-a-recession
What happens in a recession? — Manulife John Hancock Investments
The Fed didn’t prevent the relatively brief post-war depression of 1920/1921, and it likely exacerbated the Great Depression by keeping money tight when the economy was starved for cash and caught in a deflationary spiral. It’s now generally accepted that severe recessions need a major influx of cash from fiscal (government spending) and/or monetary policy (low interest rates created by the Fed) to keep them from becoming depressions.
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Federal Reserve History
federalreservehistory.org › essays › great-recession-and-its-aftermath
The Great Recession and Its Aftermath | Federal Reserve History
In the period after the 2001 recession, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintained a low federal funds rate, and some observers have suggested that by keeping interest rates low for a "prolonged period" and by only increasing them at a "measured pace" after 2004, the Federal Reserve contributed to the expansion in housing market activity (Taylor 2007).
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Discover
discover.com › personal loans › resources › consolidate and reduce debt
What Happens in a Recession and How It Affects You | Discover
August 26, 2025 - Being aware of them may help you take advantage of improving economic conditions. Costs may return to normal after a period of high inflation. The Federal Reserve may lower interest rates during a recession in hopes of increasing business activity.
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Wintrust
wintrust.com › articles › 2023 › 03 › what-is-a-recession-and-how-could-one-affect-your-finances.html
What Is a Recession (And How Could One Affect Your Finances)? | Wintrust
A recession can also affect bank accounts, especially when the Federal Reserve Bank raises the interest rate to combat issues like inflation. Or when they drop those same rates to make it easier for people and businesses to borrow.
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Tembo
tembomoney.com › learn › what happens to mortgage rates in a recession?
What Happens To Mortgage Rates In A Recession? | Tembo blog
February 17, 2025 - A recession will last as long as ... will happen, or how long they will last when they do hit. During a recession, interest rates usually fall....
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Quora
quora.com › Why-are-interest-rates-cut-during-a-recession
Why are interest rates cut during a recession? - Quora
Answer (1 of 6): The basic ideology behind this is to boost investment. With low interest rates prevailing in the markets, investors glance at this as a good investment opportunity and actually start considering investment in different sectors. We are here peculiarly speaking of private investors...
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Better
better.com › content › do-mortgage-rates-go-down-in-a-recession
Do mortgage rates go down in a recession? Know what to do
June 20, 2025 - Do mortgage rates go down in a recession? Learn how economic downturns impact rates, homebuying pros and cons, and smart steps to take during uncertain times.
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EveryCRSReport.com
everycrsreport.com › reports › RS22371.html
The Pattern of Interest Rates: Does it Signal an Impending Recession? - EveryCRSReport.com
May 5, 2008 - The easing of monetary policy in evidence since September 2007 is consistent with efforts to forestall or minimize an economic downturn. Economic growth has been low since the last quarter of 2007, and some forecasters are now predicting a recession in 2008. Recessions and the Pattern of Interest Rates The dating of an economic downturn occurs after the event has happened.
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SmartAsset
smartasset.com › financial-advisor › what-happens-to-interest-rates-during-a-recession
What Happens to Interest Rates During a Recession?
March 20, 2025 - As the economy begins to pick up, the Federal Reserve may adjust its interest rate policy. Once the economy begins to approach the peak of an expansion period, the Fed may raise rates in order to curb borrowing and spending.
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Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com › personal finance › mortgages
Do mortgage rates go down in a recession?
November 4, 2025 - Bohr said that mortgage rates usually decrease during a recession because, as the stock market becomes more volatile, investors shift their portfolios into government bonds. This pushes the prices of the bonds up, and yields (interest rates) fall.
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Rocket Mortgage
rocketmortgage.com › home › learn › home buying › preparing to buy › do mortgage rates go down in a recession?
Do mortgage rates go down in a recession? | Rocket Mortgage
November 18, 2024 - So mortgage rates will be lower in the aftermath of the recession, but not necessarily during one. Of course, this is only half the equation for determining mortgage rates. The other half always involves personal factors like your credit history ...
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Nasdaq
nasdaq.com › articles › do-interest-rates-go-down-in-a-recession
Do Interest Rates Go Down in a Recession? | Nasdaq
April 6, 2023 - When interest rates go up, people ... interest rates, which keeps money out of the economy. The Fed also relies on interest rates when the economy enters a recession....
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IMF
imf.org › external › pubs › ft › fandd › basics › recess.htm
Recession: When Bad Times Prevail - Back to Basics: Finance & Development
In the case of severe recessions, the typical output cost is close to 5 percent. ● The fall in consumption is often small, but both industrial production and investment register much larger declines than that in GDP. ● They typically overlap with drops in international trade as exports and, especially, imports fall sharply during periods of slowdown. ● The unemployment rate almost always jumps and inflation falls slightly because overall demand for goods and services is curtailed.
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PIMCO
pimco.com › us › en › resources › education › recessions-what-investors-need-to-know
Recessions: What Investors Need to Know | PIMCO
July 29, 2024 - An overheated economy – characterized by low unemployment, rising inflation, and asset valuation bubbles, which may cause central banks worldwide to tighten financial conditions by raising short-term interest rates; examples of asset valuation bubbles that led to recessions included the dotcom bubble in 2001, and the real estate bubble that led to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis
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Invesco
invesco.com › us › en › insights › what-is-a-recession.html
What is a recession, and how can investors deal with one? | Invesco US
Lowering interest rates, for example, may help ease a downturn and promote recovery, but it takes a while for the impact of lower rates to be felt throughout the economy. Past recessions have led to more market volatility and declining stock ...