Just wrote a report about it for my job, and it honestly seemed like an overreaction. This quarter was pretty awful, missing just about every KPI, but if you’re a long term holder I don’t really see any concern. F-35 demand will remain high regardless of how bad Trump runs the US reputation into the ground due to it being the sole fifth generation fighter on the market. The major point of concern I saw going through the call was the lack of contracts or plans about revenue sources from the “golden dome”. This was a huge catalyst imo that could’ve boosted the stock a lot. If this idea doesn’t play out (which could very well happen) I think you lose a lot of potential upside. Regardless, I don’t see it staying down for long with the current geopolitical state and unrest. NOC posted a good quarter showing demand was still there, and RTX, while not as good, also demonstrated that customers still actively seek these defense products. TLDR: long term holders shouldn’t worry. Defense will always sell Answer from SuperRedHulk1 on reddit.com
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Reddit
reddit.com › r/stocks › lmt dropped 10% after q2 – overreaction or real concern?
r/stocks on Reddit: LMT dropped 10% after Q2 – overreaction or real concern?
July 22, 2025 -

Lockheed Martin dropped ~10% after Q2 earnings, mainly due to several large charges tied to classified and international programs. This hit GAAP earnings hard, forced a cut to full-year EPS guidance, and even led to negative free cash flow for the quarter.

That said, adjusted EPS actually beat expectations, revenue guidance was reaffirmed, and the company still has a $166B+ backlog. Demand for defense remains strong, and their core programs like the F-35 and missile systems are still solid.

Is the selloff just a reaction to one rough quarter, or does it point to deeper execution issues? Does the long-term story still hold up here?

Curious to hear what your opinion is. Buying opportunity or stay away?

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TipRanks
tipranks.com › news › catalyst › why-lockheed-martin-shares-dropped-suddenly
Why Lockheed Martin Shares Dropped Suddenly - TipRanks.com
January 28, 2025 - Lockheed Martin’s stock price dropped in pre-market trading due to a substantial $1.7 billion charge from classified programs affecting fourth-quarter net profits. Despite a 5% increase in sales to $71 billion and a strong order backlog of ...
Discussions

Lockheed Martin reported its first unprofitable quarter in more than a decade for its two largest divisions
If I were a foreign military, after seeing how capricious and schizophrenic the US has been, I wouldn’t want to buy American weapons either. Nobody wants their ability to defend their nation shut down because your country didn’t bribe the president enough Trump coin or whatever it’s called. This aggressive “fuck everyone” attitude may make you feel good, but it’s a business strategy for broke bitches. We need adults in the room. More on reddit.com
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July 23, 2025
LMT dropped 10% after Q2 – overreaction or real concern?
Just wrote a report about it for my job, and it honestly seemed like an overreaction. This quarter was pretty awful, missing just about every KPI, but if you’re a long term holder I don’t really see any concern. F-35 demand will remain high regardless of how bad Trump runs the US reputation into the ground due to it being the sole fifth generation fighter on the market. The major point of concern I saw going through the call was the lack of contracts or plans about revenue sources from the “golden dome”. This was a huge catalyst imo that could’ve boosted the stock a lot. If this idea doesn’t play out (which could very well happen) I think you lose a lot of potential upside. Regardless, I don’t see it staying down for long with the current geopolitical state and unrest. NOC posted a good quarter showing demand was still there, and RTX, while not as good, also demonstrated that customers still actively seek these defense products. TLDR: long term holders shouldn’t worry. Defense will always sell More on reddit.com
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July 22, 2025
Lockheed Martin stock drop
It's a lifelong hold for me. War as a racket will never end. More on reddit.com
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December 17, 2024
Lockheed Martin Stock Sinks as F-35 Sales Decline Weighs on Revenue
I had to cancel my F-35 order, sorry guys More on reddit.com
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October 22, 2024
People also ask

Why did Lockheed Martin shares decline despite strong quarterly results?
Shares fell due to the lowered full-year free cash flow guidance, which overshadowed better-than-expected earnings and revenue.
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seekingalpha.com
seekingalpha.com › news › 4506335-lockheed-martins-stock-declines-amid-guidance-for-slimmer-cash-flow
Lockheed Martin's stock declines amid guidance for slimmer cash ...
What guidance did Lockheed Martin provide for 2025 sales and earnings?
Lockheed Martin reiterated 2025 sales forecast of $74.25–$74.75 billion and increased its earnings guidance to $22.15–$22.35 per share.
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seekingalpha.com
seekingalpha.com › news › 4506335-lockheed-martins-stock-declines-amid-guidance-for-slimmer-cash-flow
Lockheed Martin's stock declines amid guidance for slimmer cash ...
How did Lockheed Martin's quarterly cash flow and earnings compare to analyst expectations?
Lockheed Martin exceeded expectations for adjusted earnings, operating cash flow, and free cash flow, with all metrics beating analyst forecasts.
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seekingalpha.com
seekingalpha.com › news › 4506335-lockheed-martins-stock-declines-amid-guidance-for-slimmer-cash-flow
Lockheed Martin's stock declines amid guidance for slimmer cash ...
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Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com › news › lockheed-martin-long-term-opportunity-171114475.html
Is Lockheed Martin A Long Term Opportunity After Recent Share Price Weakness?
3 weeks ago - Lockheed Martin currently trades ... around 33.7x. At first glance, that discount might suggest the stock is being valued more conservatively than its competitors....
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AOL
aol.com › articles › every-lockheed-martin-investor-know-102500670.html
What Every Lockheed Martin Investor Should Know Before Buying
1 month ago - A favorable end market environment for revenue, or possibly an unfavorable market for margins: Investors need to weigh the pros and cons before making a purchase, and also consider which factor is more lasting. That's the conundrum facing investors in stocks like Lockheed Martin these days.
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Finbold
finbold.com › home › here’s why lockheed stock is crashing
Here's why Lockheed stock is crashing
January 29, 2025 - A closer look at the earnings report reveals that the defense company suffered a $1.7 billion pre-tax loss on classified programs. Once this one-time loss is accounted for, Lockheed stock provided EPS that works out to $6.67 — a hair above ...
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Seeking Alpha
seekingalpha.com › home › earnings analysis › industrial
Lockheed Martin's Dip On Great Results Doesn't Mean To Buy (NYSE:LMT) | Seeking Alpha
October 21, 2025 - Lockheed Martin saw growth across key segments, increased its dividend by 5%, and expanded its share buyback program to $9.1 billion. Read why LMT is a Hold.
Find elsewhere
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Ultima Markets
ultimamarkets.com › home › why did lockheed martin stock drop
Why Did Lockheed Martin Stock Drop | Ultima Markets
September 19, 2025 - The decline in 2025 was driven by Q2 earnings weakness, $1.6 billion in program losses, negative free cash flow, and rising F-35 costs, alongside uncertainty over U.S. defense budgets.
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Seeking Alpha
seekingalpha.com › news › 4506335-lockheed-martins-stock-declines-amid-guidance-for-slimmer-cash-flow
Lockheed Martin's stock declines amid guidance for slimmer cash flow (LMT:NYSE) | Seeking Alpha
October 21, 2025 - Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) shares dropped as much as 4.6% on Tuesday, marking their sharpest intraday decline since July, after the defense giant lowered its full-year free cash flow guidance, overshadowing stronger-than-expected quarterly earnings.
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Yahoo! Finance
finance.yahoo.com › news › why-lockheed-martin-stock-falling-152310285.html
Why Lockheed Martin Stock Is Falling Today
July 22, 2025 - Lockheed Martin's (NYSE: LMT) quarter was loaded with cost overruns and write-offs, causing the defense contractor to miss expectations. Investors were disappointed, sending Lockheed shares down more than 5% as of 10:30 ET Tuesday.
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AOL
aol.com › why-lockheed-martin-stock-popped-161909292.html
Why Lockheed Martin Stock Popped, Then Dropped Today
May 2, 2025 - Now Lockheed stock is down 1.9% as of 11:50 a.m. ET. Wells Fargo notes the U.S. Pentagon could see its budget grow 13% year over year, to $961 billion, if Congress approves the administration's budget request. As the nation's largest pure-play defense contractor, Lockheed Martin could inherit a lot of this wealth -- good news that helped drive early gains for the defense stock.
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Nasdaq
nasdaq.com › articles › lockheed-martin-stock-loses-16-3-months-time-hold-or-fold
Lockheed Martin Stock Loses 16% in 3 Months: Time to Hold or Fold? | Nasdaq
This might have hurt investors’ confidence in the stock, leading to the initial downward price movement in the past three months. LMT’s share price decline reflects investor concerns over labor shortages, particularly skilled workers, affecting ...
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Benzinga
benzinga.com › trading-ideas › movers › 25 › 06 › 45952440 › lockheed-martin-lmt-stock-is-falling-monday-whats-going-on
Lockheed Martin (LMT) Stock Is Falling Monday: What's Going On? - Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) - Benzinga
June 16, 2025 - Shares of defense contractor Lockheed ... upward momentum late last week as escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East drove speculation about increased demand for military hardware....
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Investopedia
investopedia.com › lockheed-martin-stock-stumbles-as-defense-contractor-cuts-forecast-11776793
Lockheed Martin Stock Stumbles as Defense Contractor Cuts Forecast
July 22, 2025 - Andrew Kessel was a breaking news writer for Investopedia until October 2025. He previously covered markets for Proactive Investors, with a focus on small-cap stocks in fintech, healthcare, mining, and other sectors. ... Lockheed Martin recognized $950 million in pre-tax losses tied to a classified aeronautics program.
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Bitget
bitget.com › crypto wiki › why did lockheed martin stock drop: key factors explained
Why Did Lockheed Martin Stock Drop: Key Factors Explained
October 30, 2025 - Regulatory scrutiny: Ongoing investigations into government procurement practices have created uncertainty around future contract awards. These developments have led to increased volatility and a short-term drop in Lockheed Martin's stock price.
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Reuters
reuters.com › business › aerospace-defense › lockheed-martin-cautions-2025-profit-view-hindered-by-f-35-tech-upgrade-2025-01-28
Lockheed Martin cautious on 2025 profit view, shares sink 8% | Reuters
January 28, 2025 - Lockheed Martin on Tuesday forecast it will make less profit than expected in 2025, as the top U.S. defense company grapples with the delayed rollout of upgrades to the F-35 fighter jet that are vital to its bottom line.
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Forbes
forbes.com › forbes homepage › money › markets
What's Happening With Lockheed Martin Stock?
October 29, 2024 - Although Lockheed Martin’s Q3 performance was better than our estimates, its top-line of $17.1 billion missed the consensus estimate of $17.4 billion. This resulted in a 6% fall in its stock after it reported the results.
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Reuters
reuters.com › business › aerospace-defense › lockheed-profit-dives-80-16-billion-charge-shares-tumble-2025-07-22
Lockheed profit dives 80% on $1.6 billion charge, shares tumble | Reuters
July 22, 2025 - Lockheed Martin reported on Tuesday that its second-quarter profit plunged by about 80%, after the U.S. defense group recorded a pretax loss of $1.6 billion, mainly linked to a classified program within its Aeronautics segment, sending its shares ...
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MarketBeat
marketbeat.com › stocks › nyse › lmt › headlines
LMT News Today | Why did Lockheed Martin stock go up today? $LMT
3 weeks ago - What's going on at Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT)? Read today's LMT news from trusted media outlets at MarketBeat.
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IBM
jenkins-release.watsonmedia.ibm.com › home › lockheed
Why Did Lockheed Stock Drop - Watson Media
January 19, 2025 - The miss was primarily driven by a decline in revenue from the company's space division, which reported a 6.2% drop in sales compared to the previous year. This division, known for its satellite and space exploration technologies, is a significant ...