Showing results for Taiwan
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The Week
theweek.com › home › world news
Will China invade Taiwan? | The Week
2 weeks ago - “It would provoke a military response by Taiwan, force President Trump to decide whether the US military should help defend the island, disrupt global trade and impel European nations to impose punishing sanctions on Beijing.” · China has warned it will “crush” any foreign attempts to interfere on behalf of Taiwan, after Japan announced
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Reddit
reddit.com › r/bestof › u/mariachiarchery explains why china won't invade taiwan.
r/bestof on Reddit: u/MariachiArchery explains why China won't invade Taiwan.
3 weeks ago - A war with China will devastate Taiwan but China is unlikely to win it. Amphibious invasions are extremely bloody even under the best circumstances. More likely it will result in a stalemate that devastates both countries. I actually think China will try to invade Taiwan.
Discussions

Does China have the inclination and/or ability to invade Taiwan?
Short answer: Yes. Long answer: China is still upscaling it's naval capabilities as it does have enough power for an invasion but faces two major challenges. First, how big will the group of outside support for Taiwan be? Possible considerable contributions could come from not just the US which is of course the main antagonist from Beijings perspective, but also from Japan, South Korea, Australia and maybe Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines or even Vietnam. Given their dependency on Taiwanese microchip manufacturing, a limited force from the EU and the UK is to be expected as well. It's one thing to invade a (heavily armed) island, it's a complete other thing to sustain a full siege around it for an indefinite amount of time until they surrender. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/Military
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April 16, 2025
China ‘expects to be able to fight and defeat Taiwan’ by end of 2027, Pentagon finds | Beijing sharpening military options to seize Taiwan by ‘brute force’, says report
I’m so sick of 2027 being thrown around like it’s a fact. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/LessCredibleDefence
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75
1 month ago
Considering the world is changing and I think China will invade Taiwan soonish what is a way to invest in probable semiconductor bottlenecks?
Own as much of the whole world’s economic base as possible. Diversify with index ETFs. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/investing
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0
2 weeks ago
CMV: China won't invade Taiwan
2. China is starting to get a good reputation. China has always wanted to get a good reputation. China has for a long time invested a large sum of money to improve its image and soft power. https://www.economist.com/graphic-detail/2019/05/24/chinas-10bn-annual-spending-on-soft-power-has-bought-little-of-it It seems like people's opinion on China is slowly starting to change maybe because of this. You can see this recently with Rednote giving people a positive look at Chinese people. Recently I see more people defending China than usual on social media. What lol. No it hasnt, I think you are massively over valuing American teens who largely where already looking to side with what ever anti america faction they can becuase of radicalisation, as reasonable barometers of overall approval. In reality chinas dictator for life, constant invasion of taiwan airspace, stealing of IP, uighur genocide, causing the pandemic etc have massivel soured people perspective of china. Also china will invade taiwan there is one reason, the economy, their economy is collapsing and dictorships dont have stong mandates people only accept loosing freedoms for high returns, so if the ccp cant maintain the mandate with improved living conditions and a good economy they will do it with nationalism, and the biggest way to drump up nationalism is to invade taiwan. Plus they have a ton of excess men who have no hope of finding wives, so they have the man power for it. If they dont do this xi very soon will risk revolution or revolt against his leadership. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/changemyview
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February 21, 2025
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DW
dw.com › en › taiwan-president-vows-to-defend-sovereignty-after-china-drills › a-75355978
Taiwan president vows to defend country after China drills
3 weeks ago - The exercises came less than two ... claims democratically governed Taiwan as its territory and has not ruled out using force to take control of the island nation....
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Council on Foreign Relations
cfr.org › blog › trumps-strikes-venezuela-will-not-embolden-china-invade-taiwan
Trump’s Strikes on Venezuela Will Not Embolden China to Invade Taiwan | Council on Foreign Relations
2 weeks ago - Instead, China has not attacked Taiwan because it lacks confidence that it can succeed at an acceptable cost. If China develops a military that it believes can overrun Taiwan and defeat a U.S.-led coalition, then cross-Strait dynamics will ...
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Axios
axios.com › 2025 › 12 › 30 › taiwan-2027-china-invade-trump-response
Taiwan 2027: China's target date for potential takeover fast approaches
3 weeks ago - Two years later, then-CIA Director Bill Burns said intelligence showed Chinese President Xi Jinping had "instructed the People's Liberation Army to be ready by 2027 to conduct a successful invasion."
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Taipei Times
taipeitimes.com › News › taiwan › archives › 2025 › 11 › 29 › 2003848035
Experts clarify the significance of 2027 for China - Taipei Times
November 29, 2025 - The year 2027 is regarded as the year China would likely gain the capability to invade Taiwan, not the year it would launch an invasion, Taiwanese defense experts said yesterday. The experts made the remarks after President William Lai (賴清德) ...
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The Guardian
theguardian.com › world › 2025 › dec › 30 › trump-not-worried-china-military-live-fire-drills-taiwan
Trump ‘not worried’ as China’s live-fire Taiwan wargame enters second day | China | The Guardian
3 weeks ago - US president says Chinese leader did not notify him of drills that have involved live missile launches into Taiwan strait ... Donald Trump has said he is not worried by China’s live-fire military drills surrounding Taiwan and that he has a great relationship with the Chinese leader, Xi Jinping, who “hasn’t told me anything about it”.
Find elsewhere
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Indo-Pacific Defense FORUM
ipdefenseforum.com › home › key issues › conflicts - tensions
What cost is China willing to bear to invade Taiwan? – Indo-Pacific Defense FORUM
October 28, 2025 - Most analysts contend that the PLA will not be ready to undertake such an operation soon, despite Xi’s aspirations to attain the capability by 2027. Taiwan’s terrain poses tremendous challenges for invaders, with rugged mountains, dense ...
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Reddit
reddit.com › r/military › does china have the inclination and/or ability to invade taiwan?
r/Military on Reddit: Does China have the inclination and/or ability to invade Taiwan?
April 16, 2025 -

The most important company that perhaps most people have never heard about is the Taiwan Semi-Conductor Company (TSMC). They have a monopoly on advanced semi-conductors. If you're reading this, you're using one of their products.

The big question mark around their stock (TSM) is "will Taiwan be invaded by China?" I wanted to get this sub's opinion. Does China have the inclination and/or the ability to invade Taiwan?

Thank you!

p.s. If this isnt the most appropriate sub for this question, I would appreciate being directed in the right direction.

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Defense News
defensenews.com › pentagon › 2024 › 05 › 07 › how-dc-became-obsessed-with-a-potential-2027-chinese-invasion-of-taiwan
How DC became obsessed with a potential 2027 Chinese invasion of Taiwan
May 7, 2024 - This became the standard line across ... Xi has instructed the PLA [People’s Liberation Army], the Chinese military leadership to be ready by 2027 to invade Taiwan....
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BBC
bbc.com › news › articles › cp94v42gmg9o
Taiwan is preparing for a Chinese attack but its people don't think war is coming soon
August 25, 2025 - Like Ben, most people in Taiwan – 65% according to a survey released in May by the military-affiliated Institute for National Defense and Strategic Research (INDSR) - believe it is unlikely that China will attack in the next five years.
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Stimson Center
stimson.org › security & strategy › defense policy & posture › rethinking the threat: why china is unlikely to invade taiwan
Rethinking the Threat: Why China is Unlikely to Invade Taiwan • Stimson Center
November 18, 2025 - While Taiwan’s natural landscape would make conquering the island difficult, the Taiwanese people would likely also strongly resist an invader. The decisionmakers in Beijing doubtlessly consider Taiwan’s capabilities as they make strategic decisions. However, if China’s leaders decide to launch an invasion, they must consider not only the geographic challenges, but also the readiness and will of Taiwanese population.
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Domino Theory
dominotheory.com › trump-didnt-say-xi-can-invade-taiwan
No, Trump Didn’t Say Xi Can Invade Taiwan - Domino Theory
2 weeks ago - But Trump also acknowledged that ... Trump previously told Fox News in August 2025 that Xi had told him China will not invade Taiwan while he is president....
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The Guardian
globalguardian.com › global-digest › will-china-invade-taiwan
Will China Invade Taiwan? A Potential Timeline for Conflict
In 2025, when Taiwan’s military predicts China will be ready to invade: The year 2025 is marked by strategic significance, as Taiwan's military predicts that China could be prepared to execute an invasion by then.
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INSS
inss.org.il › home › publications › inss insight › the dragon and the clock—2027 as the turning point year between china and taiwan
The Dragon and the Clock—2027 as the Turning Point Year Between China and Taiwan | INSS
2 weeks ago - Many regard 2027 as the year in which the Chinese military could attack Taiwan—especially after former CIA Director William Burns said in 2023 that “as a matter of intelligence, we know that he [Xi Jinping] has instructed the People’s ...