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Center for Politics
centerforpolitics.org › home › 2026 house
2026 House - Sabato's Crystal Ball
1 month ago - To read recent stories on the race for the House, click here. 2026 House Ratings Updated Dec. 10, 2025 House district presidential loyalty in Trump-era elections, using 2024 districts
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Cook Political Report
cookpolitical.com › cook political report › ratings › u.s. house
2026 CPR House Race ratings | Cook Political Report
December 9, 2025 - The CPR House Race Ratings assess the competitiveness of all 435 House elections.
Discussions

What is the U.S. Senate going to look like after the 2026 midterm elections?
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🌐 r/PoliticalDiscussion
164
186
1 month ago
CMV: In 2026 Democrats will win the house and in 2028 will win the presidency (but not the senate). Then nothing will fundamentally change and Republicans will sweep the house in 2030 and win the presidency in 2032.
First of all, it is very difficult to estimate how well or poorly 2026 will go. Anything beyond that is simply compounded upon with even more factors. Both Obama and Biden during their times as president made big progress with their agenda. Obamacare still being a thorn to the GOP to date. The majority of Trump's fuckery is via executive orders. The next president can come in with all of them preprinted and undo them in an hour without blinking an eye, Coming after Trump himself will be impossible, but not after his stooges. He has sold everyone down river to save his ass, making an example out of them will have to suffice. But the big point is MAGA. MAGA will implode without Trump. MAGA is a cult focused only on him. Their effect only exists if he is running, his endorsements haven't meant a thing. When he can't run anymore, that is it for both MAGA and the GOP. That voting block will go back to being inactive. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/changemyview
572
1833
1 month ago
What are your early 2026 midterms predictions? How do you expect them to go compared to 2018?
Way too early to say. We won't really know much until May at the earliest. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/AskALiberal
23
7
December 2, 2025
It’s very likely the 2026 midterms will have a blue wave
If things go on as they are then yes, though the GOP is clearly trying to rig the system as much as possible with intense gerrymanders in multiple states trying to stop it. But a lot of time between now and then. I don't see Trump disastrous policies causing things to get anything but worse, but the Dems have snatched defeat from the jaws of victory before. Let's hope they understand how and why. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/Discussion
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November 7, 2025
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Race to the WH
racetothewh.com › house
Predictions for the House - 2026 Midterms - Updated Daily — Race to the WH
The model takes into account the recent electoral history of each district, the latest polling, fundraising, and other key data. In 2026, Democrats are seeking to reclaim the House majority, after coming tantalizingly close to victory in two ...
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Kalshi
kalshi.com › markets › controlh › house-winner › controlh-2026
Which party will win the U.S. House this year? Odds & Predictions 2026
2 weeks ago - Track what Kalshi's markets predict for "Which party will win the U.S. House this year?", or trade it yourself.
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270toWin.com
270towin.com › 2026-house-election-predictions
2026 House Election Forecast Maps - 270toWin
November 5, 2025 - A consensus outlook for the 2026 House Elections based on the current ratings of these three forecasters.
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Polymarket
polymarket.com › event › which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026
Which party will win the House in 2026? Predictions & Odd... | Polymarket
If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”. Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S.
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Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › 2026_United_States_House_of_Representatives_election_ratings
2026 United States House of Representatives election ratings - Wikipedia
2 days ago - ^ Doug LaMalfa died on January 6, 2026. A special election using the current, strongly Republican boundaries will be held on a date to be determined. ^ Prediction was made before recent redistricting.
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FairVote
fairvote.org › home › reports › monopoly politics 2026: how 81% of 2026 elections have already been decided
Monopoly Politics 2026: How 81% of 2026 elections have already been decided - FairVote
November 20, 2025 - We project that 81% of House seats will be safe for one party, with another 9% leaning strongly to one party – 18 months before the election.
Find elsewhere
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LSE
blogs.lse.ac.uk › home › elections and party politics across the us › forecasting suggests the republicans will lose 28 seats and the house in the 2026 midterm elections
Forecasting suggests the Republicans will lose 28 seats and the House in the 2026 midterm elections | USAPP
October 15, 2025 - Republican Party may gain or lose in the November 2026 midterm elections. Through this model, they predict that the GOP are likely to lose 28 seats next year, and control of the US House of Representatives....
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The Hill
thehill.com › opinion › campaign › 5558908-democrats-might-be-doomed-to-a-2026-disappointment
Democrats might be doomed to a 2026 disappointment
October 17, 2025 - If that happens, Republicans might gain an opportunity to erase a dozen Democratic seats in the South, says chief political analyst for The New York Times, Nate Cohn. (It is not entirely clear whether the ruling would apply to the House map for the 2026 midterm or whether it would take effect afterward.)
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YouTube
youtube.com › watch
I Asked AI to Predict the 2026 Midterm Elections - You Won’t Believe What AI Said! - YouTube
I Asked AI to Predict the 2026 Midterm Elections - You Won’t Believe What AI Said!Can Democrats flip the House in 2026? This video dives into the latest poll...
Published   October 15, 2025
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270toWin.com
270towin.com › 2026-house-election
2026 House Election Interactive Map - 270toWin
October 22, 2025 - Who will control the Congress? Review and predict the outcome of the 435 House races in the midterm 2026 election.
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The Conversation
theconversation.com › economic-forecasts-point-to-a-democrat-win-in-the-2026-us-midterm-elections-270178
Economic forecasts point to a Democrat win in the 2026 US midterm elections
November 21, 2025 - Available data suggests the Democratic Party will win ten seats and gain control of the House of Representatives in the midterms.
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Brookings
brookings.edu › home › what history tells us about the 2026 midterm elections
What history tells us about the 2026 midterm elections | Brookings
August 28, 2025 - If the election were held tomorrow, our swing/seat-change chart predicts a Republican loss of about 12 seats, while our analysis of recent patterns—showing House seats have been distributed in proportion to the national House vote—predicts ...
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Ballotpedia
ballotpedia.org › United_States_Congress_elections,_2026
United States Congress elections, 2026 - Ballotpedia
1 day ago - Meanwhile, Republicans can lose no more than two districts and retain a majority in the House. As of December 19, 2025, nine incumbent senators and 44 incumbent representatives are not running for re-election in 2026.
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Predictit
predictit.org › markets › detail › 8157 › Which-party-will-win-the-House-in-the-2026-election
Which party will win the House in the 2026 election?
November 5, 2025 - Find out which party will win the House in the 2026 midterm election. Get the latest predictions on PredictIt. PredictIt enables you to follow along with 2026 election predictions, politics, and much more! You can even make money on PredictIt!
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Ballotpedia
ballotpedia.org › United_States_House_of_Representatives_elections,_2026
United States House of Representatives elections, 2026 - Ballotpedia
3 weeks ago - House elections. In this section, you will find: A list of districts targeted by each political party ... The table below lists each district that the DCCC has announced it will target in 2026, alongside the margin of victory in each district in the 2024 congressional elections.[54]
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Race to the WH
racetothewh.com › senate › 26
Predictions for the Senate - 2026 Midterms - Updated Daily — Race to the WH
The RacetotheWH Senate Forecast predicts the outcome of every Senate race in 2026 using a data-driven model that factors in the latest polling, historic trends, candidate quality, and fundraising. Every day, we simulate the election 50,000 times to get the best projection we can on how likely each party is to win the majority.
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G. Elliott Morris
gelliottmorris.com › p › democrats-lead-house-generic-ballot
Democrats lead in House generic ballot polls by 2.3 points
August 1, 2025 - If the 2026 midterm elections were held today (and polls were exactly correct), our average finds 45.3% of voters would cast ballots for Democratic candidates for the U.S. House of Representatives, while 43% would vote for Republicans.