1 week ago - We expect the unemployment rate to average 4.5% in 2026 before declining toward 3.9% in 2030 (figures 12 and 13). ... Stock markets have shown considerable strength15 despite the headwinds to economic growth.

The U.S. economy is forecast to run below its long-run trend rate of growth in 2025, as growth is slowed by higher tariffs, some fiscal restraint and slower population growth. Real GDP growth then briefly overshoots in 2026/27 and then converges ...

We maintain our expectation of slower growth through late 2025 and early 2026 because of tariffs, even though we slightly upgraded growth in H2 2025. Fiscal policy will deliver mixed effects next year: growth support from accelerated depreciation ...

In low-income countries (LICs), growth firmed to 5 percent in 2025 and is projected to rise to 5.7 percent in 2026 before easing slightly to 5.6 percent in 2027. This outlook assumes an improvement in security conditions in several fragile states ...

1 month ago - Canada’s economy will gear down over the next two decades, driven in large part by demographic trends. A surge in retirements over the next five years, combined with tighter immigration policies, will limit labour force growth.

5 days ago - Our Canadian Outlook, released quarterly, covers 10 sectors for the next five years, along with a longer-term 20-year view.

Economic growth in Canada is projected to rise to around 1.8% in 2025 and 2026, outpacing potential output, and excess supply is gradually absorbed. Inflation is expected to remain close to the Bank of Canada’s 2% target.

In the year ahead, our baseline forecast sees the American economy growing at a pace of 2.5% or more, which is well above the 1.8% long-term trend that held in the years after the 2008−09 financial crisis.

This report sets out our latest long-term global growth projections to 2050 for 32 of the largest economies in the world, accounting for around 85% of world GDP.

Monetary policy is working to reduce ... The Bank projects that inflation will stay around 3% into the second quarter of 2024, ease below 2.5% in the second half of the year and return to target in 2025....

Looking beyond global numbers, ... spending, along with easier monetary and fiscal policy—to reach 1.8% real growth in GDP in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027....

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is a survey of prospects and policies by the IMF staff, usually published twice a year, with updates in between. It presents analyses and projections of the world economy in the near and medium term, which are integral elements of the IMF’s surveillance of ...

In CBO’s projections, economic growth cools from an estimated 2.3 percent in calendar year 2024 to 1.9 percent in 2025 and 1.8 percent in 2026 amid higher unemployment and lower inflation.

For definitions of uncertainty and risks in economic projections, see the box “Forecast Uncertainty.” ... Figure 4.B. Uncertainty and risks in projections of the unemployment rate · Median projection and confidence interval based on historical forecast errors ... Note: The blue and red lines in the top panel show actual values and median projected values, respectively, of · the average civilian unemployment rate in the fourth quarter of the year ...

September 24, 2024 - This slowdown in the US will have a ripple effect on the global economy and we now expect real global GDP to expand by 2.6% year-on-year on average over the next 5 years — well below the 3% of the 2010s which was hardly a stellar decade for ...

As such, they can differ from the growth rates of annual averages shown in Table 1. Sources: Statistics Canada and Bank of Canada calculations and projections · The global economy is forecast to grow at around 3% in 2025 and 2026 (Chart 22).

The U.S. Economic Outlook for 2025–2027 · Jacob T. Burton, Gabriel M. Ehrlich, Kyle W. Henson, Daniil Manaenkov, Niaoniao You, and Yinuo Zhang ... Medicaid. On the revenue side, the size of the SALT · deduction cap is likely to take center stage. We remain ... July but to proceed at a measured pace. The fed funds · rate reaches 3.25–3.5 percent, the terminal range we

December 10, 2025 - In the absence of official data during the shutdown, our analysis suggests that the economy has picked up momentum from earlier in the year, and we have raised our full-year 2025 growth estimate to 1.9% as a result.

4 days ago - Fixed rates may increase slightly if bond yields rise again (e.g., due to inflationary pressures or signs of economic growth). If yields ease (e.g. due to signs of inflation or economic cooling), the 5-year fixed-rate may drop slightly if the trend holds. Fixed rates don't have much room to fall, and it's likely to be a tight rollercoaster for the next while, or at least until U.S.

September 22, 2025 - With a team of renowned economists, we provide timely data updates, expert commentary, and thematic reports on growth and inflation, fiscal trends, housing markets, international trade, and monetary policies. Stay informed and make smarter decisions by exploring RBC Economics’ insights today. Get the latest insights, analysis and forecast from RBC Economics in your inbox.