October 21, 2022 - Tesla founder Elon Musk thinks the global economic contraction can last for another year and a half.

In short, we are positive about the economy’s fundamentals and believe they can provide ballast in the event of a recession. Nonetheless, the bear-market bottom for stocks may still be 5%-10% away. Investors should remain patient and consider using tax-efficient rebalancing, including by harvesting losses, to neutralize their major overweight and underweight exposures. And, as we continue to emphasize, pursue maximum asset-class diversification. This article is based on Lisa Shalett’s Global Investment Committee Weekly report from June 27, 2022, “Inflation-Driven Recessions are Different.” Ask your Morgan Stanley Financial Advisor for a copy.

October 12, 2022 - ... Recessions happen when economic output, consumer demand and employment are all negatively affected. Modern recessions typically last 10 months. The Great Recession lasted about 18 months, though its economic effects lasted for years.

Answer (1 of 86): This time, it would last longer and would be pretty close to the Great Depression because we're dealing with high inflation, high gas prices, high rent, and higher cost of living. The usual remedy is to print more money to keep the economy going; however, this would only make i...

September 21, 2022 - In an interview with Bloomberg this week, Roubini said that a recession is likely to hit the U.S. by the end of 2022 before spreading globally next year, conceivably lasting for the entirety of 2023.

October 2, 2022 - While the consensus is that a global recession is likely sometime in 2023, it’s impossible to predict how severe it will be or how long it will last.

December 29, 2022 - As debt-servicing costs increase and purchasing power declines, lower income Canadians—many already adjusting to the loss of pandemic support—will be hit hardest. The bottom line: The pain of the upcoming recession won’t be distributed equally among Canadian businesses and households.

November 13, 2022 - My final note is that it's important to remember that recessions are a normal part of the economic cycle. Long-term financial plans will always experience some declining periods. Since World War II, the US has had about a dozen recessions and they typically end after a year or sooner. By contrast (and to give you some better news), periods of expansion and growth are more frequent and longer lasting.

As Capital Group equity portfolio manager Rob Lovelace has noted, “You can’t have such a sustained period of growth without an occasional downturn to balance things out. It’s normal. It’s expected. It’s healthy.” ... The good news is that recessions generally haven’t lasted very long.

March 9, 2022 - In fact, Rosenberg said there's a 75% likelihood of a recession in the next six months. "We're already in the eighth inning," Rosenberg said. "So I'd say that if there's a timestamp on this economic expansion, as short as it's been, it's probably ...

March 11, 2022 - It lowered its full-year real 2022 GDP growth forecast for the United States by 25 basis points, to +1.75%. That’s nearly a full percentage point below the consensus estimate, which could itself shrink should the war in Ukraine persist, Wall Street warns. “This forecast implies below potential growth in 2022 Q1 and 2022 Q2 and potential growth for 2022 overall,” wrote Jan Hatzius, Goldman’s chief economist. “And we now see the risk that the U.S. enters a recession during the next year as broadly in line with the 20% to 35% odds currently implied by models based on the slope of the yield curve.”

March 11, 2022 - Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen declined to offer a new forecast on inflation for the end of 2022 as she acknowledged that fallout from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine would worsen price rises, which just hit another 40-year high in February.

March 9, 2022 - Social Capital’s Chamath Palihapitiya recently explained this one on the All-In Podcast. During that, he said that anytime energy prices have jumped by 50% or more in the last 30 to 440 years, a recession has followed.

November 9, 2022 - Though 2022 is unlikely to host a recession, 2023 and 2024 are extremely risky. The Federal Reserve will start tapering its quantitative stimulus soon, and sometime in mid-2022 it will begin raising short-term interest rates.

March 9, 2022 - Really economists look out, say a year or a little over a year, and probably you could say late 2022 might be within that timeframe. The odds are not, but these are all differences in odds, right?

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3 weeks ago - We maintain our expectation of slower growth through late 2025 and early 2026 because of tariffs, even though we slightly upgraded growth in H2 2025. Fiscal policy will deliver mixed effects next year: growth support from accelerated depreciation ...

November 19, 2025 - The shortest-ever recession was during the covid lockdown in spring 2020 only lasted two months. The longest U.S. recession ever was after the Civil War — it lasted more than five years.

August 2, 2023 - Definitely worse. I was quite optimistic that inflation would be transitory back at the end of 2021 and the beginning of 2022—a lot of other economists were as well.

August 6, 2025 - In the case of the Pandemic Recession, ... The previous peak in economic activity occurred in February 2020. The recession lasted two months, which makes it the shortest U.S....