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Wintrust
wintrust.com › articles › 2023 › 03 › what-is-a-recession-and-how-could-one-affect-your-finances.html
What Is a Recession (And How Could One Affect Your Finances)? | Wintrust
A recession can also affect bank ... drop those same rates to make it easier for people and businesses to borrow. Regular interest rate hikes began happening in America in 2022, as ......
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Dallas Fed
dallasfed.org › research › economics › 2022 › 0802
U.S. likely didn’t slip into recession in early 2022 despite negative GDP growth - Dallasfed.org
Recession is often defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction—declining real GDP. The nation’s GDP fell 1.6 percent on an annualized basis in first quarter 2022 and was followed by a 0.9 percent drop in the second quarter.
Discussions

Remember when we went into a recession in the summer of 2022, but they changed the definition of a recession?
When I weigh myself I just turn the knob so it gives me the number I like. More on reddit.com
🌐 r/austrian_economics
295
382
October 1, 2023
I predict no recession in 2022. So tired of the doom & gloom every time central banks tighten policy.

Trillions in excess savings? Is that why consumer credit card debt is skyrocketing by tens of billions, because everyone is sitting on a pile of cash but would rather pay loan shark rates to credit card companies?

Mr. MarkusEF, what you've just said is one of the most insanely idiotic things I have ever heard. At no point in your rambling, incoherent response were you even close to anything that could be considered a rational thought. Everyone in this room is now dumber for having listened to it. I award you no points, and may God have mercy on your soul.

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🌐 r/wallstreetbets
60
0
August 18, 2020
5 Reasons why RECESSION IS COMING in 2022

my accounts are already recessed to shit

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🌐 r/wallstreetbets
351
565
May 15, 2020
[OC] Recession risk within next 12 months; as of July 2022

I guess I don't quite get what the graph is saying. It has the US at 32%, but it is in a recession now. There have been 2 consecutive quarters of negative growth.

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🌐 r/dataisbeautiful
66
49
October 5, 2020
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TIME
time.com › business › economy
What Is a Recession and Is the U.S. in One in 2022? | TIME
July 28, 2022 - ... “It’s a national event,” Sahm said. “Consumers spend less, people lose their jobs, businesses cut back on investment, industrial production slows down. There are many different signs but there’s no one indicator.” During the ...
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Axios
axios.com › 2024 › 09 › 26 › 2022-recession-gdp-revision
2022's "technical recession" wasn't real, revised GDP data shows
September 26, 2024 - One of the adjustments: GDP is now estimated to have grown in the second quarter of 2022 at a 0.3% annual rate. It had previously been estimated to have shrunk at a 0.6% rate, the second of two quarters of contraction.
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Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
cbpp.org › research › economy › tracking-the-recovery-from-the-pandemic-recession
Tracking the Recovery From the Pandemic Recession
April 3, 2024 - From a jobs and growth standpoint, the economy was essentially healed by the end of 2023, and the groups that had experienced the largest losses in the recession had recouped a substantial share of their losses or erased them entirely. The overall number of jobs rose above pre-pandemic levels in June 2022 and in December 2023 was 5.0 million jobs higher than in February 2020.
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J.P. Morgan Private Bank
privatebank.jpmorgan.com › private banking & wealth management › insights › markets & investing › five factors we use to track recession risk, and what they say now
Five factors we use to track recession risk, and what they say now | J.P. Morgan Private Bank U.S.
January 28, 2025 - Between these peaks, the recession odds remain relatively low, indicating periods of economic stability. The recent data shows a rise in recession odds around 2022, which did not coincide with an actual recession, indicated by a lack of shaded ...
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Conference Board
conference-board.org › topics › recession-knowledge-center › what-happens-during-a-recession
What Happens During a Recession in the US, Euro Area, and Japan?
September 14, 2022 - With regards to consumption, it’s mostly the consumption of durable goods that is heavily cut back. Spending on nondurables is typically unchanged and, interestingly, expenditures on services even go up slightly during recessions.
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Rangvid
blog.rangvid.com › 2025 › 11 › 16 › ai-bubble-burst-how-severe-a-recession-will-it-trigger-part-i
AI bubble burst: How severe a recession will it trigger? Part I – Rangvid’s Blog
November 16, 2025 - Figure 6 illustrates the performance of the S&P 500, measured in months since the beginning of the dot-com rally in January 1995 and since the onset of the current rally. I define the start of the current rally as October 2022, when stocks reached their post-pandemic low following a series of interest rate hikes.
Find elsewhere
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Wikipedia
en.wikipedia.org › wiki › 2022_stock_market_decline
2022 stock market decline - Wikipedia
September 24, 2025 - The 2022 stock market decline was a bear market that included the decline of several stock market indices worldwide between January and October 2022. The decline was due to the highest inflation readings as part of the 2021–2023 inflation surge and the resulting increases in interest rates, combined with the worst year for the bond market since 1994 with fears of a global recession due to a decline in economic indicators and an inverted yield curve, exacerbated by supply chain disruptions due to the Russian invasion of Ukraine and uncertainty over the long-term effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on the economy.
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Advisor Perspectives
advisorperspectives.com › dshort › updates › 2025 › 11 › 25 › the-big-four-recession-indicators
The Big Four Recession Indicators - dshort - Advisor Perspectives
November 20, 2025 - Real retail sales are currently ... April 2022 (data through September 2025) Real personal income is currently 0.08% off its all-time high from April 2025 (data through August 2025) It's difficult to discuss the behavior of the big four leading up to the "COVID" recession - it likely ...
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Manulife John Hancock Investments
jhinvestments.com › viewpoints › investing-basics › what-happens-in-a-recession
What happens in a recession? — Manulife John Hancock Investments
While all of this seems logical, the inverted yield curve’s ability to predict a recession has been called into question in recent years. Since a portion of the curve inverted beginning in July 2022—when the yield of the 2-year U.S. Treasury bond began to consistenly surpass that of the ...
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World Economic Forum
weforum.org › stories › 2024 › 02 › what-is-a-recession-economy-definition-explainer
What is a Recession And How To Tell If One is Happening | World Economic Forum
Recessions end when growth resumes again, no matter how slowly this happens. During the Great Recession of 2008, for example, governments introduced a number of quantitative easing measures, pumping trillions into the global economy in an attempt to resuscitate it.
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Tker
tker.co › p › q2-2022-gdp-revised-up-no-recession
The already mislabeled 'recession' of 2022 didn't happen, new data shows 🤦🏻‍♂️
September 26, 2024 - “Remember the ‘technical recession’ (two quarters of negative GDP growth) in early 2022?” Casselman wrote. “Turns out it never happened.”
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Investopedia
investopedia.com › terms › r › recession.asp
Recession: Definition, Causes, and Examples
August 25, 2025 - Despite the fact that the economy experienced two consecutive quarters of shrinkage, numerous other positive economic indicators showed that the economy was not in recession, the report argued. It cited the fact that employment continued to increase even as GDP contracted. The report further pointed out that although real personal disposable income declined in 2022, much of the decline was a result of the end of the COVID-19 relief stimulus, and that personal income, excluding these payments, continued to rise.
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International Monetary Fund
imf.org › en › publications › weo › issues › 2022 › 10 › 11 › world-economic-outlook-october-2022
World Economic Outlook, October 2022: Countering the Cost-of-Living Crisis
October 10, 2022 - Global economic activity is experiencing a broad-based and sharper-than-expected slowdown, with inflation higher than seen in several decades. The cost-of-living crisis, tightening financial conditions in most regions, Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, and the lingering COVID-19 pandemic all ...
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Jhu
bipr.jhu.edu › BlogArticles › 22-US-Economy-is-Headed-for-Recession.cfm
US Economy is Headed for Recession
Inverted Yield Curve Inverted treasury yield curves have predicted the last five recessions. The US is currently experiencing another inverted yield curve. This means that investors taking out loans pay more for short-term loans than long-term ones. When investors put more faith in short-term loans, they convey a lack of confidence in long-term yields. Additionally, the Federal Reserve Bank has hiked rates to 5.25% since early 2022.
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CNBC
cnbc.com › 2022 › 07 › 20 › economists-chance-of-a-2022-recession-is-rising-with-inflation.html
'Ugly' inflation numbers make a recession more likely in 2022, economist says
July 20, 2022 - US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell speaks during a news conference at the Federal Reserve Building in Washington, DC, June 15, 2022. ... As inflation continues to increase, so does the probability of a recession, according to several recent economic forecasts.
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World Bank Group
worldbank.org › en › research › brief › global-recession
Is a Global Recession Imminent?
September 15, 2022 - Drawing on insights gained from previous global recessions, this study presents a systematic analysis of the recent evolution of economic activity and policies, and a model-based assessment of possible near-term macroeconomic outcomes. Evolution of activity. Consensus forecasts for global growth in 2022 and 2023 have been downgraded significantly since the beginning of the year.
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Reserve Bank of Australia
rba.gov.au › education › resources › explainers › recession.html
Recession | Explainer | Education | RBA
This usually results in job losses and an increase in the unemployment rate. While there is no single definition of recession, it is generally agreed that a recession occurs when there is a period of reduced output and a significant increase ...